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TotalEnergies sees Brent-Dubai crude price gap remaining negative

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 8, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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TotalEnergies sees Brent-Dubai crude price gap remaining negative
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By Florence Tan NEW DELHI (Reuters) -The price gap between Brent and Dubai crude is expected to remain negative due to strong demand for heavier Middle Eastern oil, despite increasing supplies from

TotalEnergies Predicts Continued Negative Gap in Brent-Dubai Crude Prices

By Florence Tan

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The price gap between Brent and Dubai crude is expected to remain negative due to strong demand for heavier Middle Eastern oil, despite increasing supplies from OPEC nations, a TotalEnergies executive said on Monday.

Rahim Azouni, TotalEnergies' senior vice president of trading and shipping, was speaking at the APPEC conference in Singapore a day after OPEC+, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and other allies, agreed to further raise oil production from October.

"Clearly, the market is looking for heavier grades today ... That's why we see the Brent-Dubai going negative," he said.

"We see this trend continuing despite OPEC adding more crude to the market," he added.

A negative spread between Brent and Dubai quotes has made sweet grades more attractive for Asian refiners relative to Middle East sour grades.

On Monday, Brent-Dubai Exchange of Futures for Swaps (EFS) narrowed 12 cents to 47 cents per barrel.

The narrowed spread has also opened the arbitrage for U.S. crude to head to Asia.

"You have the WTIs landing very cheap compared with the alternative grades," Azouni said, referring to West Texas Intermediate crude.

He said TotalEnergies buys more than 10 cargoes of U.S. crude every month and trades more than 1 million barrels per day (bpd) of the oil to Asia as well as to Europe.

Looking ahead, global oil supply will be driven mainly by Latin America in 2026, he said, adding that TotalEnergies will be producing oil in Suriname in two years' time, with production to plateau at 200,000 bpd.

(Reporting Florence Tan, Siyi Liu and Trixie Yap; Writing by Nidhi Verma; Editing by Sonali Paul)

Key Takeaways

  • Brent-Dubai crude price gap expected to remain negative.
  • Strong demand for heavier Middle Eastern oil influences prices.
  • OPEC+ to increase oil production from October.
  • Narrowed Brent-Dubai spread boosts US crude exports to Asia.
  • TotalEnergies plans oil production in Suriname by 2025.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expected trend for the Brent-Dubai crude price gap?
The Brent-Dubai crude price gap is expected to remain negative due to strong demand for heavier Middle Eastern oil.
How is OPEC's supply affecting the crude oil market?
Despite OPEC adding more crude to the market, the negative spread between Brent and Dubai is making sweet grades more attractive for Asian refiners.
What is TotalEnergies' strategy regarding U.S. crude?
TotalEnergies buys more than 10 cargoes of U.S. crude every month and trades over 1 million barrels per day to Asia and Europe.
What future production plans does TotalEnergies have?
TotalEnergies plans to produce oil in Suriname by 2026, with production expected to plateau at significant levels.
What does the narrowed Brent-Dubai spread indicate?
The narrowed spread has opened arbitrage opportunities for U.S. crude to be shipped to Asia, as it is landing at cheaper prices compared to alternative grades.

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