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UK factories edge closer to end of downturn, PMI suggests

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 1, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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UK factories edge closer to end of downturn, PMI suggests
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LONDON (Reuters) -Britain's manufacturers - hit in recent months by trade wars and higher taxes - moved closer to a return to growth in July and executives were their most optimistic in five months,

UK Manufacturing Sector Shows Signs of Recovery, PMI Data Reveals

UK Manufacturing Sector Overview

LONDON (Reuters) -Britain's manufacturers - hit in recent months by trade wars and higher taxes - moved closer to a return to growth in July and executives were their most optimistic in five months, according to a survey published on Friday.

The S&P Global/CIPS manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index improved for a fourth month in a row to 48.0 from 47.7 in June, the weakest rate of contraction since January.

July's final reading was slightly weaker than a preliminary estimate of 48.2 and remained below the 50.0 level that represents the threshold for growth for a 10th straight month.

Britain's factories have been hit by fallout from U.S. President Donald Trump's trade tariff increases, finance minister Rachel Reeves' hike in social security contributions for employers and a big increase in the minimum wage.

Current Manufacturing Trends

Friday's survey pointed to an improvement with output of consumer and intermediate goods growing after several months of contraction and a measure of expectations for future output rising to its highest since February.

"The UK manufacturing sector is starting to send some tentatively encouraging signals," Rob Dobson, director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said.      

Employment Challenges

However, a gauge of employment in the sector fell again as companies grappled with their higher labour costs and there were signs that jobs could take a further hit in the coming months, S&P Global said.

Dobson said manufacturers were likely to remain cautious before Reeves' next annual tax and spending plan in the autumn.

Prices paid and charged by factories increased at roughly the same pace as in June, the PMI showed.      

Bank of England's Role

The Bank of England, which is expected to cut interest rates next week, is assessing the persistence of inflation pressures and the extent of a downturn in the jobs market.

The manufacturing sector accounts for around 10% of Britain's economic output. The dominant services sector weakened in July, according to the preliminary PMI. A final PMI for services is due to be published on Tuesday.

(Writing by William Schomberg; Editing by Toby Chopra)

Key Takeaways

  • UK manufacturing PMI improved for the fourth consecutive month.
  • Optimism among executives is at a five-month high.
  • Employment in the sector continues to face challenges.
  • Output of consumer and intermediate goods is growing.
  • The Bank of England is expected to cut interest rates soon.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the PMI indicate about UK manufacturing in July?
The S&P Global/CIPS manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index improved for the fourth consecutive month, rising to 48.0, indicating a closer move towards growth.
How has the manufacturing sector been affected recently?
Britain's manufacturers have faced challenges from trade wars, higher taxes, and increased labor costs, leading to a cautious outlook among executives.
What are the expectations for future output in the manufacturing sector?
The survey indicated a rise in expectations for future output, reaching its highest level in five months, suggesting some optimism among manufacturers.
What is the significance of the 50.0 PMI threshold?
A PMI reading above 50.0 indicates growth in the manufacturing sector, while readings below this level, like the current 48.0, signify contraction.
What actions is the Bank of England considering?
The Bank of England is expected to cut interest rates next week as it evaluates ongoing inflation pressures and the downturn in the jobs market.

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