Finance

Sterling touches two-week high before jobs data

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 11, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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Sterling touches two-week high before jobs data
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By Samuel Indyk LONDON (Reuters) -The pound was steady on Monday after earlier hitting a more than two-week high against the dollar, before job market and growth data later in the week that could take

Sterling touches two-week high before jobs data

Impact of Economic Data on Pound Sterling

By Samuel Indyk

Bank of England's Rate Decisions

LONDON (Reuters) -The pound was steady on Monday after earlier hitting a more than two-week high against the dollar, before job market and growth data later in the week that could take on more importance after the Bank of England's close decision to cut rates on Thursday.

Market Expectations for Job Data

The pound was last little changed against the dollar at $1.3458 after earlier touching $1.3476, its highest since July 25.

Analyst Insights on Sterling Volatility

The BoE last week lowered the Bank Rate by 25 basis points to 4%, but the nine-person, rate-setting, Monetary Policy Committee was split, with four members voting to keep interest rates unchanged.

The BoE has eased rates at a slower pace than the European Central Bank, tending to favour a rate cut about once per quarter since it kicked off its easing cycle in the middle of last year, due to worries about sticky inflation.

ING FX strategist Francesco Pesole believes that incoming data will take on a greater importance for the outlook for monetary policy following the BoE's decision last week.

"I think there will be quite a lot of data-related volatility in sterling," Pesole said.

"The Bank of England signalled that there's a stronger case for a slowdown in the pace of easing, and markets are quite torn on whether they should keep that rate cut in December."

Economists polled by Reuters expect Tuesday's data to show the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.7% in the three months to June. Preliminary growth data, released on Thursday, is expected to show GDP slowed to 0.1% in the second quarter from 0.7% in the first quarter.

"Soft data will cause markets to price a higher chance of a Bank of England interest rate cut by year end, weighing on GBP/USD in our view," said Samara Hammoud, currency strategist at CBA.

Money market futures imply about an 80% chance that the BoE cuts interest rates again by December's meeting.

The pound was little changed at 86.53 pence per euro and 198.7 yen.

(Reporting by Samuel Indyk. Editing by Mark Potter)

Key Takeaways

  • Sterling reached a two-week high against the dollar.
  • Bank of England's recent rate cut decision impacts market expectations.
  • Upcoming job and growth data could influence monetary policy.
  • Economists predict steady unemployment and slower GDP growth.
  • Market anticipates potential rate cut by the end of the year.

Frequently Asked Questions

What recent change did the Bank of England make to interest rates?
The Bank of England lowered the Bank Rate by 25 basis points to 4% last week.
What is the current unemployment rate expected to be?
Economists expect the unemployment rate to remain steady at 4.7% in the three months to June.
What does the market expect regarding future interest rate cuts?
Money market futures imply about an 80% chance that the Bank of England will cut interest rates again by December's meeting.
How has the pound performed recently against the dollar?
The pound was last little changed against the dollar at $1.3458 after earlier reaching $1.3476, its highest since July 25.
What impact is expected from the upcoming economic data?
Soft data could lead markets to price a higher chance of a Bank of England interest rate cut by year-end, which may weigh on GBP/USD.

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