Finance

Euro zone consumers cut near-term inflation expectations, ECB survey shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 29, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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Euro zone consumers cut near-term inflation expectations, ECB survey shows
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FRANKFURT (Reuters) -Euro zone consumers reduced their inflation expectations for the next year in June, supporting indications that the most recent episode of runaway price growth is over, a survey

Euro Zone Consumers Lower Short-Term Inflation Expectations, ECB Survey Reveals

FRANKFURT (Reuters) -Euro zone consumers reduced their inflation expectations for the next year in June, supporting indications that the most recent episode of runaway price growth is over, a survey from the European Central Bank showed on Tuesday.

The ECB halved interest rates to 2% from 4% over the past 13 months but kept borrowing costs steady this month, on the premise that inflation is now back at it 2% target and would remain there over the medium term.

Consumers' median expectation for inflation over the next 12 months fell to 2.6% in June from 2.8% a month earlier, while expectations for three years ahead were steady at 2.4% and five years out were unchanged at 2.1%, the ECB's survey of 19,000 adults showed.

Although consumer bets are not always the best gauge of actual price trends, the ECB places great emphasis on expectations and closely watches an array of indicators, since they could impact wage setting, which then influences prices.

Consumers' expectations for nominal income growth over the next 12 months was steady at 1.0% last month, with higher income individuals lowering their expectations and lower income groups raising them, the ECB said.

(Reporting by Balazs KoranyiEditing by Bernadette Baum)

Key Takeaways

  • Euro zone consumers reduced inflation expectations for the next year.
  • ECB survey indicates stabilization of recent price growth.
  • Interest rates halved by ECB over the past 13 months.
  • Consumers expect inflation to remain near 2% target.
  • Income growth expectations vary by income level.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did the ECB survey reveal about consumer inflation expectations?
The ECB survey indicated that Euro zone consumers reduced their inflation expectations for the next year in June, with the median expectation falling to 2.6% from 2.8%.
How have interest rates changed in the Euro zone recently?
The ECB halved interest rates to 2% from 4% over the past 13 months but kept borrowing costs steady this month, believing inflation is back at its 2% target.
What are consumers' expectations for nominal income growth?
Consumers' expectations for nominal income growth over the next 12 months remained steady at 1.0%, with higher income individuals lowering their expectations and lower income groups raising them.

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