Finance

Euro zone firms upbeat but feel impact of trade tensions, ECB survey shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 21, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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Euro zone firms upbeat but feel impact of trade tensions, ECB survey shows
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FRANKFURT (Reuters) -Euro zone firms remain optimistic about their growth prospects but are also experiencing pressure on their profits, in part due to trade tensions, an ECB survey showed on Monday.

Euro Zone Businesses Remain Positive Despite Trade Tensions, ECB Survey Reveals

FRANKFURT (Reuters) -Euro zone firms remain optimistic about their growth prospects but are also experiencing pressure on their profits, in part due to trade tensions, an ECB survey showed on Monday.

Euro zone growth has been lukewarm in recent years as a long expected recovery has proved elusive but businesses continue to maintain high employment levels as they remain confident of an upturn ahead.

A net 8% of firms reported an increase in turnover over the last three months and a net 23% are optimistic about developments in the next quarter, the ECB said in its quarterly Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises.

However, firms continued to see a deterioration in their profits with the decline being more widespread among small and medium-sized enterprises.

"Most firms reported that they had been affected to some extent by trade tensions, with firms exporting to the United States and firms in the manufacturing sector being the most exposed," the ECB added.

Around 30% of firms expressed concerns regarding delays or shortages in supply chains and firms indicated the need to seek alternative suppliers.

"Main strategies employed to adapt to the changing trade environment include refocusing sales within domestic and EU markets and restructuring supply chains," the ECB added.

While longer term inflation expectations remained unchanged, firms cut their price growth expectation for one year ahead to 2.5% from 2.9%, the ECB added.

(Reporting by Balazs KoranyiEditing by Christina Fincher)

Key Takeaways

  • Euro zone firms are optimistic about growth prospects.
  • Trade tensions are impacting profit margins.
  • SMEs are more affected by profit declines.
  • Firms are adapting by restructuring supply chains.
  • Inflation expectations remain steady.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the ECB survey indicate about Euro zone firms' growth prospects?
The ECB survey shows that Euro zone firms remain optimistic about their growth prospects, with a net 23% expressing confidence in developments for the next quarter.
How are trade tensions affecting Euro zone firms?
Most firms reported being affected by trade tensions, particularly those exporting to the United States and those in the manufacturing sector.
What concerns do firms have regarding supply chains?
Around 30% of firms expressed concerns about delays or shortages in supply chains, indicating a need to seek alternative suppliers.
What strategies are firms employing to adapt to trade tensions?
Firms are refocusing sales within domestic and EU markets and restructuring their supply chains to adapt to the changing trade environment.
How have firms adjusted their inflation expectations?
While longer-term inflation expectations remained unchanged, firms reduced their price growth expectation for the upcoming year from 2.9% to 2.5%.

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