Finance

Estee Lauder forecasts profit below estimates, warns of $100 million tariff hit

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 20, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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Estee Lauder forecasts profit below estimates, warns of $100 million tariff hit
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(Reuters) -Estee Lauder forecast annual profit below Wall Street estimates on Wednesday, as the cosmetics giant grapples with persistent weakness in the U.S. and China markets and tariff uncertainty.

Estee Lauder Projects Lower Profit Amid $100 Million Tariff Impact

Estee Lauder's Financial Outlook and Challenges

(Reuters) -Estee Lauder forecast annual profit below Wall Street estimates on Wednesday and warned of a $100 million tariff-hit in fiscal 2026, sending the cosmetic giant's shares down about 4% in early trading.

The Trump administration's unpredictable trade policies have put a strain on businesses that are grappling with higher costs and low demand.

To revive sales, Estee Lauder has been accelerating new launches in categories including skincare, introducing new luxury price tiers, increasing investments and implementing cost-savings measures, under new CEO Stephane de La Faverie, who took up the top job earlier this year.

Impact of Tariffs on Profit

In May, Estee Lauder said it was planning to reduce its sourcing in China from U.S. plants to below 10% by shifting production to Japan and Europe to counter over half of the expected hit from trade policies.

The company sources roughly 25% of its products sold in China and EMEA regions from U.S. plants.

Restructuring Plans and Financial Performance

Organic net sales for the fourth quarter fell 13%, compared with an 8% rise a year ago, primarily hurt by weakness in the skincare and makeup segments. The company has also seen pressure from persistent weakness in the U.S. and China markets.

Quarterly Loss Analysis

Estee reported a wider quarterly loss of $546 million, up from $284 million a year ago, partly due to impairment charges tied to brand performance at Too Faced and skincare brand Dr.Jart+.

On an adjusted basis, it earned 9 cents per share, in line with estimates.

It sees full-year adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $1.90 to $2.10, compared with analysts' estimates of $2.21, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Estee Lauder, which laid out restructuring plans in February, said on Wednesday it expects to take restructuring charges between $1.2 billion and $1.6 billion, before taxes in 2026.

(Reporting by Anuja Bharat Mistry and Anshi Sancheti in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini Ganguli)

Key Takeaways

  • Estee Lauder forecasts lower profit due to tariffs.
  • Shares fell 4% after the announcement.
  • Company plans to reduce sourcing from China.
  • Restructuring charges expected in 2026.
  • Quarterly loss widened due to impairment charges.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Estee Lauder's profit forecast for fiscal 2026?
Estee Lauder forecasts annual profit to be below Wall Street estimates, anticipating a $100 million tariff hit.
How has Estee Lauder's sales performance changed recently?
Organic net sales for the fourth quarter fell 13%, primarily due to weakness in the skincare and makeup segments.
What restructuring charges does Estee Lauder expect?
The company expects to incur restructuring charges between $1.2 billion and $1.6 billion before taxes in 2026.
What measures is Estee Lauder taking to revive sales?
To revive sales, Estee Lauder is accelerating new product launches, increasing investments, and implementing cost-saving measures.
What was Estee Lauder's quarterly loss compared to last year?
Estee Lauder reported a quarterly loss of $546 million, up from $284 million a year ago, partly due to impairment charges.

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