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European Q2 corporate profit outlook improves further

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 12, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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European Q2 corporate profit outlook improves further
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(Reuters) -The outlook for European corporate health has considerably improved, the latest earnings forecasts showed on Tuesday. European companies are expected to report 4.8% growth in second-quarter

European Corporate Profit Forecasts Show Significant Improvement

European Corporate Earnings Outlook

By Javi West Larrañaga and Marleen Kaesebier

Market Sentiment and Tariff Agreements

(Reuters) -The outlook for European corporate health has considerably improved, the latest earnings forecasts showed on Tuesday, showing a continued rise after the extension of the U.S.-China tariff truce and the EU-U.S. trade deal.

Sector Performance Expectations

European companies are expected to report 4.8% growth in second-quarter earnings, on average, according to LSEG I/B/E/S data. That is above the 3.1% rise analysts had expected a week ago.

Impact of Tariffs on Renewable Companies

Market sentiment has steadily improved in recent weeks, after the European Union struck a framework deal with the United States in July and the U.S. and China extended their tariff truce for another 90 days on Monday.

Following U.S. President Donald Trump's plans for tariffs on all countries in February, second-quarter earnings expectations of STOXX 600 companies had gone from a 9.1% year-on-year increase right before the announcement to a 0.7% fall before the signing of the U.S.-EU deal.

They have considerably increased in the weeks since Brussels and Washington agreed on the 15% import tariff on most EU goods, half the threatened rate.

The consensus forecast for second-quarter revenue has also continued to improve, the LSEG report showed, with analysts now expecting a 1.3% fall compared to a 2.0% drop last week.

Out of ten sectors in the European benchmark index, four are expected to see a year-on-year improvement in quarterly earnings. The technology sector is expected to have the highest growth rate at 26%, followed by healthcare, financials and industrials.

Earnings of Danish wind turbine maker Vestas later this week could show how European renewable companies are dealing with tariffs and the increased uncertainty in the United States. On Monday, wind farm developer Orsted asked shareholders for $9.4 billion to cope with Trump's hostility to wind power.

(Reporting by Javi West Larrañaga and Marleen Kaesebier in Gdansk, editing by Milla Nissi-Prussak)

Key Takeaways

  • European corporate earnings are expected to grow by 4.8% in Q2.
  • The U.S.-China tariff truce and EU-U.S. trade deal boost market sentiment.
  • Technology sector expected to lead with 26% growth.
  • Renewable companies face challenges due to U.S. tariffs.
  • Vestas and Orsted are key players in the renewable sector.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expected growth in European corporate earnings for Q2?
European companies are expected to report an average growth of 4.8% in second-quarter earnings, according to LSEG I/B/E/S data.
How has market sentiment changed recently?
Market sentiment has improved steadily in recent weeks after the European Union reached a framework deal with the United States and the U.S. and China extended their tariff truce.
Which sector is projected to have the highest earnings growth?
The technology sector is expected to have the highest growth rate at 26% year-on-year for the second quarter.
What changes have occurred in revenue forecasts?
The consensus forecast for second-quarter revenue has improved, with analysts now expecting a 1.3% fall compared to a 2.0% drop the previous week.
What impact could Vestas' earnings report have?
Earnings from Danish wind turbine maker Vestas could provide insights into how European renewable companies are managing tariffs and uncertainty in the United States.

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