Finance

Euro zone business activity stuck in a rut, PMI shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on February 21, 2025

3 min read

· Last updated: February 27, 2026

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Graph showing stagnant Euro zone business activity and PMI data trends - Global Banking & Finance Review
Image illustrating the Euro zone's stagnant business activity as shown by PMI data, highlighting the economic challenges faced in manufacturing and services sectors.
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By Jonathan Cable LONDON (Reuters) - Euro zone business activity saw very tepid growth in February as demand fell at a faster pace and an expansion in services barely offset a long-running decline in

Euro Zone Business Activity Remains Stagnant, PMI Data Reveals

By Jonathan Cable

LONDON (Reuters) - Euro zone business activity saw very tepid growth in February as demand fell at a faster pace and an expansion in services barely offset a long-running decline in manufacturing, a survey showed.

HCOB's preliminary composite euro zone Purchasing Managers' Index, compiled by S&P Global, held steady at January's 50.2 in February, only just above the 50 mark separating growth from contraction.

A Reuters poll had predicted a small lift to 50.5.

"February’s flash composite PMI provides more evidence that, after expanding by only 0.1% in Q4, the euro zone economy remains all but stagnant in Q1," said Adrian Prettejohn at Capital Economics.

"The limited country breakdown available at this stage showed a further modest improvement in the situation in Germany on the eve of its federal election. However, it was a very different story in France, where the composite PMI slumped."

Business activity in Germany, Europe's largest economy which contracted for a second consecutive year in 2024, picked up slightly, driven by a steady performance in services and reduced drag from manufacturing.

The country goes to the ballot box on Sunday to elect a new government - polls predict a conservative Friedrich Merz-led CDU/CSU win - and also faces economic risks from U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policies.

In France, the bloc's second biggest economy, activity slumped much more than expected, its PMI showed, as new business and backlogs in the dominant services sector sharply declined.

Meanwhile in Britain, outside the European Union, firms are cutting staff at the fastest pace in more than four years ahead of a tax increase ordered by finance minister Rachel Reeves which has already prompted suppliers to jack up prices.

WEAK DEMAND

Overall demand in the euro zone declined for a ninth straight month and at a faster pace. The composite new business index dropped to 48.6 from 49.3 last month.

The PMI for the bloc's dominant services industry fell to 50.7 from 51.3 in January, confounding expectations in the Reuters poll for an uptick to 51.5.

Demand for services fell and some of the activity was generated by completing previous orders. The services backlogs of work index dropped to 46.7 from 48.0, its lowest reading since late 2020 when the world was in the grip of the COVID-19 pandemic.

A PMI for the manufacturing industry which has been sub-50 for approaching three years did, however, improve to 47.3 from 46.6. The Reuters poll had predicted a more modest lift to 47.0.

An index measuring factory output that feeds into the composite PMI jumped to 48.7 from 47.1.

But optimism among manufacturers remained strong despite the threat of tariffs from U.S. President Donald Trump. The future output index dipped to 59.6 from 60.5 but remained above its long-run average.

(Reporting by Jonathan Cable; Editing by Toby Chopra)

Key Takeaways

  • Euro zone PMI remains at 50.2, indicating stagnant growth.
  • Germany shows slight improvement, driven by services.
  • France experiences a significant decline in business activity.
  • Overall demand in the euro zone declines for the ninth month.
  • Manufacturing PMI improves slightly but remains below 50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the PMI data indicate about Euro zone business activity?
The PMI data shows that Euro zone business activity experienced very tepid growth in February, with demand declining for the ninth consecutive month.
How did Germany's business activity perform in February?
Germany's business activity picked up slightly, driven by a steady performance in services, although it faced a long-running decline in manufacturing.
What was the trend in the service sector's PMI?
The PMI for the service sector fell to 50.7 from 51.3 in January, indicating a decline in demand and activity within this sector.
What economic risks does Germany face ahead of its federal election?
Germany faces economic risks from potential tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump, as well as the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming federal election.
What is the overall outlook for the Euro zone economy?
The overall outlook for the Euro zone economy remains stagnant, with only a slight expansion of 0.1% in Q4 and no significant improvement expected in Q1.

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