Finance

French central bank sees 0.3% third-quarter growth

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 9, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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French central bank sees 0.3% third-quarter growth
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PARIS (Reuters) -France's economy is set to maintain steady growth in the third quarter despite the re-emergence of political uncertainty, thanks to solid manufacturing activity, the central bank

French central bank sees 0.3% third-quarter growth

PARIS (Reuters) -France's economy is set to maintain steady growth in the third quarter despite the re-emergence of political uncertainty, thanks to solid manufacturing activity, the central bank forecast on Tuesday.

The euro zone's second-biggest economy was on course to grow 0.3% from the second quarter when it also grew 0.3%, the Bank of France said in its monthly economic outlook, leaving its estimate unchanged from August.

Drawing on the findings of its monthly survey of business sentiment, the central bank said manufacturing was benefiting from firm activity in the aviation and pharmaceutical industries, where France counts industry leaders like Airbus and Sanofi.

"In these sectors, business leaders report resilient external demand and (flag) their ability to capitalise on shifting trade flows," it said.

The service sector saw more mixed fortunes, while activity was seen falling in construction and in the energy sector, the central bank said.

Executives signalled a jump in uncertainty for business prospects after Prime Minister Francois Bayrou called a vote of confidence in his government, which he lost on Monday to leave President Emmanuel Macron seeking his fifth premier in less than two years.

Uncertainty has also been fuelled by grassroots calls to disrupt airports, train stations and highways with blockades or acts of sabotage. The movement, which sprang up online and has no centralised leadership, is to hold a first day of action on Wednesday across France.

(Reporting by Leigh Thomas; Editing by Alex Richardson)

Key Takeaways

  • French economy to grow 0.3% in Q3.
  • Manufacturing sector remains strong.
  • Political uncertainty impacts business prospects.
  • Service sector experiences mixed results.
  • Construction and energy sectors see decline.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the projected growth rate for France's economy in Q3?
The French central bank projects a growth rate of 0.3% for the third quarter.
Which sectors are driving the growth in manufacturing?
The aviation and pharmaceutical industries are driving growth in manufacturing, benefiting from resilient external demand.
What impact has political uncertainty had on business sentiment?
Political uncertainty has led to a jump in executives' concerns about business prospects, particularly after a recent vote of confidence was lost.
How is the service sector performing compared to manufacturing?
The service sector is experiencing mixed fortunes, while the construction and energy sectors are seeing declines.
What actions are being taken by grassroots movements in France?
Grassroots movements are calling for disruptions at airports, train stations, and highways, contributing to the overall uncertainty.

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