Finance

French business activity contracts much more than expected in February, PMI shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on February 21, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: February 27, 2026

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Graph illustrating significant decline in French business activity in February - Global Banking & Finance Review
This image depicts a graph showing the sharp decline in French business activity as reported by the HCOB PMI for February 2023. It highlights the drop in service sector activity, crucial for understanding the economic trends affecting France's financial landscape.
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PARIS (Reuters) - French business activity slumped much more than expected in February, according to a survey published on Friday, as new business and backlogs in the dominant services sector sharply

French Business Activity Declines Sharply in February, PMI Indicates

PARIS (Reuters) - French business activity slumped much more than expected in February, according to a survey published on Friday, as new business and backlogs in the dominant services sector sharply declined.

The HCOB France flash purchasing managers index (PMI) for services, compiled by S&P Global, came in at 44.5 points in February.

That figure represents a 17-month low for the euro zone's second-biggest economy and the index has now stayed below the 50 points threshold separating growth from contraction the sixth month running.

A Reuters poll forecast for the February flash services PMI stood at 48.9 and the final January figure was at 48.2.

The flash manufacturing PMI on the other hand rose to 45.5 points - a 9-month high - from 45.0 in January, and matching the Reuters poll forecast.

Overall though the flash December composite PMI - which comprises both the services and manufacturing sectors - tumbled to 44.5 points from 47.6 in January, well below a forecast of 48.0 points.

That rate of decline, more than three points, was the steepest since September 2023.

"Recession with no end in sight. The HCOB French Flash PMI in February failed to provide any relief. Surprisingly, it was the services sector, not the manufacturing sector, that caused the latest decline," said Dr Tariq Kamal Chaudhry, economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank.

Last month, the French government cut its 2025 economic growth forecast to 0.9% from 1.1% and said it would target a 2025 public deficit of 5.4% of GDP.

(Reporting by Benoit Van Overstraeten; Editing by Toby Chopra)

Key Takeaways

  • French business activity fell sharply in February.
  • The services sector saw a significant decline.
  • PMI for services hit a 17-month low at 44.5 points.
  • Manufacturing PMI rose slightly to 45.5 points.
  • The French government revised its economic growth forecast.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the PMI for services in February?
The HCOB France flash purchasing managers index (PMI) for services came in at 44.5 points in February.
How does the February PMI compare to previous months?
The February PMI represents a 17-month low and has remained below the 50 points threshold for six consecutive months.
What changes did the French government make to its economic forecast?
Last month, the French government cut its 2025 economic growth forecast to 0.9% from 1.1% and targeted a public deficit of 5.4% of GDP.
What was the trend in the manufacturing PMI for February?
The flash manufacturing PMI rose to 45.5 points in February, a 9-month high, matching the Reuters poll forecast.
What does the decline in the composite PMI indicate?
The composite PMI tumbled to 44.5 points from 47.6 in January, indicating a significant decline in overall business activity.

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