Finance

French private sector activity contracts again in July, PMI shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 24, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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French private sector activity contracts again in July, PMI shows
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By Sudip Kar-Gupta PARIS (Reuters) -France's private sector activity shrank for an 11th straight month in July as political uncertainty weighed on business confidence in the euro zone's second-biggest

French Private Sector Activity Declines for 11th Consecutive Month

Overview of French Private Sector Activity

By Sudip Kar-Gupta

PMI Index Trends

PARIS (Reuters) -France's private sector activity shrank for an 11th straight month in July as political uncertainty weighed on business confidence in the euro zone's second-biggest economy, according to data from S&P Global published on Thursday.

Impact of Political Uncertainty

The HCOB Flash France Composite PMI Output Index rose to an 11-month high of 49.6 points in July from 49.2 in June, but remained below the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction.

Future Economic Outlook

A Reuters poll had forecast a rise to 49.3 points.

The July services sector flash PMI edged up to 49.7 from 49.6 in June, while the July flash manufacturing sector PMI also rose to 48.4 from 48.1 in June.

Demand for French goods and services also weakened further, with new orders falling at the fastest rate since February.

Business confidence deteriorated significantly, reaching its lowest level since November, as companies expressed concerns over domestic political uncertainty given opposition to French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou's budget.

Trade unions and opposition political parties have voiced discontent over Bayrou's proposal to scrap two public holidays and freeze most public spending as part of a 43.8 billion euro ($51.36 billion) budget squeeze.

"While momentum has been trending upward since the beginning of the year, the index remains below the critical 50-point threshold. This continues to signal a deterioration in economic conditions, albeit one that is only marginal," said Jonas Feldhusen, Hamburg Commercial Bank junior economist.

"Should an agreement on the austerity package be reached, it would reduce disposable income for many households - posing clear downside risks for domestic demand and especially for the services sector. Conversely, failure to reach a budget deal could further escalate political uncertainty," he added.

($1 = 0.8529 euros)

(Reporting by Sudip Kar-Gupta; Editing by Joe Bavier)

Key Takeaways

  • French private sector activity declined for the 11th month in July.
  • The PMI index rose slightly but remained below the growth threshold.
  • Political uncertainty impacts business confidence in France.
  • New orders for goods and services fell at the fastest rate since February.
  • Concerns over the French budget proposal affect economic outlook.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is economic growth?
Economic growth refers to the increase in the production of goods and services in an economy over a period of time, typically measured by the rise in GDP.

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