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French services sector contracts in July as political uncertainty weighs - PMI

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 5, 2025

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· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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French services sector contracts in July as political uncertainty weighs - PMI
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PARIS (Reuters) -France's services sector contracted at a faster pace in July, with political uncertainty and weak demand weighing heavily on business sentiment, an S&P Global survey showed on Tuesday

French Services Sector Sees Accelerated Contraction Amid Political Uncertainty

PARIS (Reuters) -France's services sector contracted at a faster pace in July, with political uncertainty and weak demand weighing heavily on business sentiment, an S&P Global survey showed on Tuesday.

The HCOB France Services PMI, which measures changes in business activity compared to the previous month, fell to 48.5 in July from 49.6 in June, marking the quickest rate of decline since April. A reading below 50 indicates contraction.

The survey highlighted a notable reduction in new work intakes, driven largely by domestic market weakness. Year-ahead expectations deteriorated sharply, with business confidence sliding to a six-month low.

Employment levels continued to decline, extending the trend into the third quarter, with temporary contracts less frequently renewed and voluntary departures often not replaced.

"The slowdown in business activity is increasingly reflected in capacity utilization," said Hamburg Commercial Bank economist Jonas Feldhusen. "Backlogs of work declined, and forward-looking expectations worsened significantly."

Despite the contraction, input cost inflation remained contained, although services firms raised their own prices marginally due to competitive pressures.

The composite PMI, which combines both manufacturing and services sectors, also showed a decline, falling to 48.6 from 49.2 in June. This signals a moderate but accelerated contraction in private sector business activity across France.

Overall, the data suggests limited economic momentum in the near term, raising concerns about the sustainability of the current growth path.

(Reporting by Makini Brice; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

Key Takeaways

  • French services sector contracted faster in July.
  • Political uncertainty impacts business sentiment.
  • PMI fell to 48.5, indicating contraction.
  • Employment levels continue to decline.
  • Economic momentum remains limited in near term.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the HCOB France Services PMI in July?
The HCOB France Services PMI fell to 48.5 in July from 49.6 in June, indicating a quicker rate of decline.
What factors contributed to the contraction in the services sector?
Political uncertainty and weak demand were significant factors weighing heavily on business sentiment.
How did employment levels change in the services sector?
Employment levels continued to decline, with temporary contracts less frequently renewed and voluntary departures often not replaced.
What does the composite PMI indicate about the private sector?
The composite PMI showed a decline, falling to 48.6 from 49.2 in June, signaling a moderate but accelerated contraction in the private sector.
What are the expectations for the economic momentum in the near term?
The data suggests limited economic momentum in the near term, raising concerns about the sustainability of the current growth path.

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