Finance

Germany set for tepid 2025 growth, accelerating in 2026 and 2027, DIW says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 5, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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Germany set for tepid 2025 growth, accelerating in 2026 and 2027, DIW says
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By Maria Martinez BERLIN (Reuters) -Germany's economy is showing tentative signs of emerging from a protracted slump, with gross domestic product seen inching up by 0.2% in 2025, according to

Germany's Economy Expected to Grow Slowly in 2025, Picks Up in 2026-2027

Economic Growth Projections for Germany

By Maria Martinez

Factors Influencing Growth

BERLIN (Reuters) -Germany's economy is showing tentative signs of emerging from a protracted slump, with gross domestic product seen inching up by 0.2% in 2025, according to projections released on Friday by the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin).

Challenges Facing the Economy

This is a downward revision from the previous forecast of 0.3% growth in June.

Public Financing and Investment

"The German economy is recovering, unusually, not through strong foreign trade but through domestic forces — above all through the expansion of the public sector," said the DIW's chief economist Geraldine Dany-Knedlik.

Structural Issues and Limitations

The upturn is expected to be underpinned by a public financing package for infrastructure and climate projects, higher defence spending, and tax incentives aimed at spurring corporate investment, the DIW said.

GDP growth is projected to accelerate to 1.7% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027 as domestic demand takes over as the main growth engine, partly offsetting waning contributions from net trade.

However, long-standing structural challenges — from weak productivity dynamics to labour shortages and high energy costs — are seen capping momentum.

"The positive effect of the enormous public funds will obscure, in the coming years, the structural growth problems we have in Germany," said Dany-Knedlik.

(Reporting by Maria Martinez, editing by Rachel More)

Key Takeaways

  • Germany's GDP is projected to grow by 0.2% in 2025.
  • Growth is expected to accelerate to 1.7% in 2026.
  • Public financing and domestic demand are key growth drivers.
  • Structural challenges may limit long-term growth.
  • DIW Berlin revised the 2025 growth forecast downward.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the projected GDP growth for Germany in 2025?
Germany's GDP is projected to grow by 0.2% in 2025, a downward revision from the previous forecast of 0.3%.
What factors are contributing to Germany's economic recovery?
The recovery is primarily driven by domestic forces, particularly the expansion of the public sector, supported by a public financing package for infrastructure and climate projects.
What is expected for GDP growth in 2026 and 2027?
GDP growth is projected to accelerate to 1.7% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027, as domestic demand becomes the main growth engine.
What challenges does Germany's economy face?
Germany faces long-standing structural challenges, including weak productivity dynamics, labor shortages, and high energy costs, which are expected to limit economic momentum.
How will public funds affect Germany's growth problems?
The positive effects of substantial public funds are expected to obscure the structural growth problems in Germany over the coming years.

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