Finance

German economy seen growing only 0.1% this year, IfW says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 4, 2025

1 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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German economy seen growing only 0.1% this year, IfW says
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By Maria Martinez BERLIN (Reuters) -Germany's economy is set to tread water this year despite firmer sentiment, with gross domestic product expected to edge up by 0.1% after two years of contraction,

German economy seen growing only 0.1% this year, IfW

Economic Forecast and Key Indicators

By Maria Martinez

GDP Growth Projections

BERLIN (Reuters) -Germany's economy is set to tread water this year despite firmer sentiment, with gross domestic product expected to edge up by 0.1% after two years of contraction, according to forecasts published by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

Unemployment Rate Trends

Business expectations have improved on prospects of higher government spending, but U.S. tariff policy remains a headwind, the IfW said on Thursday.

Government Spending Impact

Berlin is poised to deploy newly available public funds from 2025, which could lift next year's growth by about 0.6 percentage points and add a roughly half-sized boost in 2027.

GDP is seen growing by 1.3% in 2026 and 1.2% in 2027, according to the IfW.

As activity improves, the unemployment rate is projected to fall to 5.8% by 2027 from 6.3% this year, while the budget deficit widens from 2% of GDP in 2024 to 3.5% in 2027.

(Reporting by Maria Martinez, Editing by Rachel More)

Key Takeaways

  • Germany's GDP is projected to grow by 0.1% in 2023.
  • Business expectations improve with potential government spending.
  • U.S. tariff policy remains a challenge for economic growth.
  • Unemployment rate expected to fall to 5.8% by 2027.
  • Budget deficit projected to widen to 3.5% of GDP by 2027.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expected GDP growth for Germany this year?
Germany's economy is expected to grow by only 0.1% this year after two years of contraction.
What factors are influencing business expectations in Germany?
Business expectations have improved due to prospects of higher government spending, although U.S. tariff policy remains a headwind.
How will government spending affect Germany's economy in the coming years?
Berlin is set to deploy public funds from 2025, which could boost growth by about 0.6 percentage points next year and provide additional support in 2027.
What is the projected unemployment rate in Germany by 2027?
The unemployment rate in Germany is projected to fall to 5.8% by 2027, down from 6.3% this year.
What is the forecast for Germany's GDP growth in 2026 and 2027?
The IfW forecasts GDP growth of 1.3% in 2026 and 1.2% in 2027.

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