BERLIN (Reuters) -German inflation fell to 2.6% in February, the federal statistics office said on Friday, revising down preliminary data. The office had initially reported that annual inflation,
German Inflation Decline Opens Door for ECB Policy Easing
By Maria Martinez
BERLIN (Reuters) -German inflation unexpectedly fell in February, the statistics office said on Friday, pointing to a downward revision of euro zone figures that would back further policy easing by the European Central Bank.
German inflation fell to 2.6% in February, revising down preliminary data which had showed annual inflation, harmonised to compare with other European Union countries, was flat in February at 2.8%.
"This is good news for the ECB," said Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank. "Caution is nevertheless advised," he added.
That was because the relatively low rise in inflation was based on a below-average increase in goods prices, de la Rubia said. However, these could rise in the course of a trade war if the EU defends itself more strongly against imports from the U.S. and China, he said.
Inflation fell to an annual rate of 2.4% in the euro zone in February, according to a first estimate from the EU's statistics agency.
The lower German inflation rate would now suggest euro zone inflation fell to 2.3% in February, according to Pantheon Macroeconomics estimates. Final data will be published on Wednesday.
In Germany, the increase in food prices intensified in February and above-average increases in service prices, in particular, continued to drive up inflation, the office said. By contrast, energy prices had a downward effect on inflation.
The month-on-month inflation rate was also slightly revised down, from an initial 0.6% to a final reading of 0.5%, it said.
The office did not say why it revised the harmonised inflation data down.
(Reporting by Ludwig Burger, Miranda Murray and Maria Martinez, editing by Thomas Seythal and Toby Chopra)
