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Oil holds steady; market awaits clarity on OPEC+ next move

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 26, 2025

3 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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Oil holds steady; market awaits clarity on OPEC+ next move
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By Florence Tan SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil prices gained in early Asian trade on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump extended a deadline for trade talks with the European Union, easing concerns

Oil holds steady; market awaits clarity on OPEC+ next move

By Amanda Stephenson

CALGARY (Reuters) -Oil prices held steady on Monday with news that eight OPEC+ countries, who had pledged extra voluntary oil output cuts, will now meet on May 31, a day earlier than previously planned.

Brent crude futures settled down four cents at $64.74 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude last traded at $61.53 a barrel, unchanged from the prior day's session.

Trading volumes were light due to the U.S. Memorial Day holiday.

Three OPEC+ sources told Reuters on Monday about the change of meeting date. The meeting will likely decide on July output, which sources have previously told Reuters will entail another 411,000 barrels per day of production increase.

The meeting is separate from the online ministerial meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, led by Russia, set for May 28. Russian Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Monday that OPEC+ has not yet discussed hiking output by another 411,000 barrels per day ahead of its meeting, RIA news agency reported. 

"At this stage, it feels like the market is exhausted with this," said Rory Johnston, a Toronto-based analyst and founder of the Commodity Context newsletter, adding investors and traders are still anticipating the arrival of additional OPEC barrels but are disinclined to react significantly until something material emerges.

OPEC oil output edged lower in April despite a scheduled output hike taking effect, Johnston pointed out, which added to the overall market hesitancy.

"It feels like (OPEC) really wants to have headlines every couple of days," Johnston said. "But the market reaction to them at this point is waiting for anything (tangible) to actually show up."

Both Brent and WTI had traded higher earlier in Monday's session after U.S. President Donald Trump said he agreed to extend a deadline for trade talks with the European Union until July 9, marking another temporary trade policy reprieve. 

The extension eased concerns that U.S. tariffs on the EU could hit fuel demand.

Global markets climbed on Monday and the euro rallied.

"Trump's pivot, by postponing higher tariffs for the EU, and his comments on possible sanctions on Russia are moderately supporting crude prices today," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

Trump separately said in a social media post that Russian President Vladimir Putin had "gone absolutely CRAZY" by unleashing the largest aerial attack of the war on Ukraine and that he was weighing new sanctions on Moscow.

(Reporting by Amanda Stephenson in Calgary; Additional reporting by Ahmad Gaddar in London; Sam Li in Beijing and Florence Tan in Singapore; Editing by Barbara Lewis, Bill Berkrot and Cynthia Osterman)

Key Takeaways

  • OPEC+ meeting moved to May 31 to discuss oil output.
  • Brent crude settled at $64.74, WTI at $61.53.
  • Market hesitancy due to lack of tangible OPEC actions.
  • U.S. trade policy impacts oil prices.
  • Potential new sanctions on Russia discussed.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the upcoming OPEC+ meeting?
The OPEC+ meeting on May 31 will likely decide on July output, which could entail another 411,000 barrels per day cut, impacting global oil prices.
How did oil prices perform recently?
Brent crude futures settled down four cents at $64.74 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude remained unchanged at $61.53 a barrel.
What factors are influencing the current oil market?
Market sentiment is influenced by light trading volumes due to the U.S. Memorial Day holiday and the anticipation of OPEC+ decisions regarding output cuts.
How are trade talks affecting oil prices?
U.S. President Trump's extension of the trade talks deadline with the EU until July 9 has eased concerns about tariffs potentially impacting fuel demand.
What do analysts say about the current state of the oil market?
Analysts suggest that the market is currently exhausted and waiting for tangible outcomes from OPEC, as recent headlines have not significantly moved prices.

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