Finance

Oil trims gains on dollar strength, tight supplies provide support

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on January 8, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 27, 2026

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Oil price trends with dollar strength and OPEC supply impacts - Global Banking & Finance Review
An infographic illustrating the recent fluctuations in oil prices influenced by dollar strength and OPEC's supply adjustments. This image complements the article's analysis of market conditions affecting crude oil valuations.
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By Arunima Kumar (Reuters) - Oil prices trimmed earlier gains on Wednesday as the dollar strengthened but continued to find support from a tightening of supplies from Russia and other OPEC members and

Oil Prices Fluctuate with Dollar Strength and Supply Constraints

By Arunima Kumar

(Reuters) - Oil prices trimmed earlier gains on Wednesday as the dollar strengthened but continued to find support from a tightening of supplies from Russia and other OPEC members and a drop in U.S. crude stocks.

Brent crude was up 32 cents, or 0.42%, at $77.37 a barrel at 1217 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 47 cents, or 0.63%, to $74.72.

Both benchmarks had risen more than 1% earlier in the session.

"The dollar's safe haven status is appreciated as fears of renewed U.S. inflationary pressure grow," said Tamas Varga, an analyst with oil broker PVM.

A stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

"The drop (in oil prices) seems to be driven by a general shift in risk sentiment with European equity markets falling and the USD getting stronger," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Oil output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries fell in December after two months of increases, a Reuters survey showed. Field maintenance in the United Arab Emirates offset a Nigerian output hike and gains elsewhere in the group.

In Russia, oil output averaged 8.971 million barrels a day in December, below the country's target, Bloomberg reported citing the energy ministry.

U.S. crude oil stocks fell last week while fuel inventories rose, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

Despite the unexpected draw in crude stocks, the significant rise in product inventories was putting those prices under pressure, Varga added.

Analysts expect oil prices to be on average down this year from 2024 due in part to production increases from non-OPEC countries.

"We are holding to our forecast for Brent crude to average $76/bbl in 2025, down from an average of $80/bbl in 2024," BMI, a division of Fitch Group, said in a client note.

(Reporting by Katya Golubkova in Tokyo, Jeslyn Lerh in Singapore and Arunima Kumar in Bengaluru; Editing by Kirsten Donovan, Peter Graff)

Key Takeaways

  • Oil prices adjusted due to a stronger dollar.
  • Tight supplies from OPEC and Russia support prices.
  • U.S. crude stocks experienced a drawdown.
  • European markets and USD strength impact oil prices.
  • Non-OPEC production increases expected in the future.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main topic?
The article discusses oil price fluctuations due to dollar strength and supply constraints from OPEC and Russia.
How does the dollar affect oil prices?
A stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies, impacting global oil prices.
What are the future expectations for oil prices?
Analysts expect oil prices to average lower in the coming years due to increased production from non-OPEC countries.

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