Finance

Oil prices drop as OPEC+ weighs another output hike

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 3, 2025

3 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

Add as preferred source on Google
Oil prices drop as OPEC+ weighs another output hike
Global Banking & Finance Awards 2026 — Call for Entries

By Colleen Howe BEIJING (Reuters) -Oil prices were steady in Asian trading on Wednesday, holding on to sanctions-driven gains from the previous session as the market looked ahead to an OPEC+ meeting

Oil Prices Decline Ahead of OPEC+ Meeting on Production Targets

Impact of OPEC+ Decisions on Oil Prices

By Nicole Jao

Current Oil Price Trends

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices fell by more than 2% on Wednesday ahead of a weekend meeting of OPEC+ producers that is expected to consider another increase in production targets in October.

Market Reactions and Predictions

Brent crude fell $1.6, or 2.31%, to $67.54 a barrel by 2:11 p.m. EDT (1811 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell $1.68, or 2.56%, to $63.91 a barrel.

Economic Factors Influencing Prices

Eight members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies - known as OPEC+ - will consider further raising oil production at a meeting on Sunday, two sources familiar with the discussions told Reuters, as the group seeks to regain market share.

The prospect of OPEC+ raising oil production has increased ahead of the meeting, said Phil Flynn, senior analyst with Price Futures Group. Traders had expected the group to stay the course. 

Another boost would mean that OPEC+, which pumps about half of the world's oil, would be starting to unwind a second layer of output cuts of about 1.65 million barrels per day, or 1.6% of world demand, more than a year ahead of schedule.

The group had already agreed to raise output targets by about 2.2 million bpd from April to September, in addition to a 300,000 bpd quota increase for the United Arab Emirates. 

"If output is raised in line with new quotas, we see the market moving into a sizeable surplus from September 2025 through 2026, with inventories building unless countered by renewed restraint," said Ole Hvalbye, an analyst at SEB bank.

Actual increases from the group, however, have fallen short of its pledges as some members compensated for previous over-production and others struggled to raise output due to capacity constraints.

Market participants now await government data on U.S. crude stockpiles, due on Thursday. U.S. crude stocks rose by 622,000 barrels in the week ended August 29, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Wednesday.

Soft economic data, which tends to weigh on the demand outlook for oil, also pressured prices. U.S. Labor Department data showed on Wednesday that job openings, a measure of labor market demand, fell more than expected to 7.181 million in July. Economists polled by Reuters had expected 7.378 million.

Earlier this week, U.S. manufacturing contracted for a sixth month.

Meanwhile, parts of Nigeria's 650,000-bpd Dangote refinery were offline due to catalyst leaks and other issues, with repairs expected to take at least two weeks.

(Additional reporting by Ahmad Ghaddar and Seher Dareen in London, Colleen Howe in Beijing and Jeslyn Lerh in Singapore; Editing by Nia Williams and Nick Zieminski)

Key Takeaways

  • Oil prices dropped by over 2% ahead of OPEC+ meeting.
  • OPEC+ may increase production targets in October.
  • Brent and WTI crude prices saw significant declines.
  • Economic data and market predictions impact oil demand.
  • U.S. crude stockpiles rose, affecting market outlook.

Frequently Asked Questions

What caused the recent drop in oil prices?
Oil prices fell by more than 2% ahead of a weekend meeting of OPEC+ producers, who are expected to consider increasing production targets.
What are the current prices for Brent and WTI crude oil?
Brent crude fell to $67.54 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude dropped to $63.91 a barrel.
How much oil production is OPEC+ considering to increase?
OPEC+ is considering raising oil production by about 1.65 million barrels per day, which represents 1.6% of world demand.
What economic data is affecting oil prices?
Soft economic data, including a drop in job openings and a contraction in U.S. manufacturing, is weighing on the demand outlook for oil.
What issues are affecting Nigeria's Dangote refinery?
Parts of Nigeria's 650,000-bpd Dangote refinery are offline due to catalyst leaks and other issues, with repairs expected to take at least two weeks.

Tags

Related Articles

More from Finance

Explore more articles in the Finance category