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Oil prices climb 2% on drop in US crude inventories as investors focus on Ukraine peace push

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 20, 2025

4 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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Oil prices climb 2% on drop in US crude inventories as investors focus on Ukraine peace push
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By Colleen Howe BEIJING (Reuters) -Oil prices rose on Wednesday as supply concerns are resurfacing while peace talks ending Russia's invasion of Ukraine are likely to take longer, leaving in place

Oil Prices Surge 2% as US Crude Inventories Decline Amid Ukraine Talks

Impact of US Crude Inventories on Oil Prices

By Scott DiSavino

Current Oil Price Trends

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices climbed about 2% on Wednesday on a bigger-than-expected weekly drop in U.S. crude inventories as investors awaited the next steps in talks to end the Ukraine war, with sanctions on Russian crude remaining in place for now.

Geopolitical Factors Affecting Oil Prices

Brent crude futures were up $1.02, or 1.6%, to $66.81 a barrel by 1:05 p.m. EDT (1705 GMT), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 95 cents, or 1.5%, to $63.30.

Other Oil Suppliers and Market Dynamics

The U.S. Energy Information Administration said energy firms pulled 6.0 million barrels of crude from inventories during the week ended August 15. [EIA/S] [API/S]

That was bigger than the draw of 1.8 million barrels forecast by analysts in a Reuters poll and the decline of 2.4 million barrels that market sources said the American Petroleum Institute trade group cited in its figures on Tuesday.

"We had a decent-sized crude drawdown. We saw a rebound in exports ... That and the strong refinery demand really makes this a bullish report," said John Kilduff, partner with Again Capital.

On Tuesday, crude prices fell more than 1% - with WTI closing at its lowest level since May 30 - on optimism that an agreement to end the Russia-Ukraine war seemed closer.

U.S. President Donald Trump, however, conceded that Russian President Vladimir Putin might not want to make a deal.

"Much of the choppy price action has been driven by daily updates to the Ukraine/Russian negotiations that have gone back and forth from bearish to bullish as far as the impact on future oil balances is concerned," analysts at energy advisory firm Ritterbusch and Associates said in a note.

Russia was the second-biggest producer of crude in 2024 behind the U.S., so any agreement that could ease sanctions on Moscow should boost the amount of Russian oil available for export to global markets.

On Tuesday, Trump said he had ruled out putting U.S. troops on the ground in Ukraine, but said the U.S. might provide air support as part of a deal to end Russia's war in the country.

On Wednesday, Russia said attempts to resolve security issues relating to Ukraine without Moscow's participation were a "road to nowhere", sounding a warning to the West as it scrambles to work out guarantees for Kyiv's future protection.

Russia, meanwhile, said it expects to continue supplying oil to India despite warnings from the U.S., Russian embassy officials in New Delhi said on Wednesday, adding that Moscow hopes trilateral talks will soon take place with India and China.

Trump has announced an additional tariff of 25% on Indian goods exported to the U.S. from August 27, as a punishment for buying Russian oil.

India's state-run refiners Indian Oil and Bharat Petroleum have bought Russian oil for September and October delivery, resuming purchases after discounts widened, two company officials aware of the matter said on Wednesday.

Russian forces have advanced in the east of Ukraine's Dnipropetrovsk region, taking the village of Novoheorhiivka close to the Donetsk region, Russia's defence ministry said on Wednesday.

"The likelihood of a quick resolution to the conflict with Russia now seems unlikely," Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ, said in a note.

OTHER OIL SUPPLIERS

In other supply news, Iran said it believes the moment for "effective" nuclear talks with the U.S. has not yet arrived, its top diplomat said on Wednesday, adding that Tehran would not completely cut off cooperation with the U.N. nuclear watchdog.

Iran was the third-biggest producer of crude in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in 2024 behind Saudi Arabia and Iraq, so any agreement that could ease sanctions on Tehran should boost the amount of Iranian oil available for export to global markets.

In Saudi Arabia, crude exports slipped in June to their lowest level in three months, according to data from the Joint Organizations Data Initiative (JODI).

In Norway, the second biggest oil producer in Europe after Russia, combined oil and gas production exceeded an official forecast by 3.9% in July, according to the Norwegian Offshore Directorate (NOD).

(Reporting by Scott DiSavino in New York and Alex Lawler in London; Additional reporting by Arathy Somasekhar in Houston, Colleen Howe in Beijing and Jeslyn Lerh in Singapore; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama and Paul Simao, Kirsten Donovan)

Key Takeaways

  • Oil prices increased by 2% due to a drop in US crude inventories.
  • Investors are closely watching Ukraine peace talks.
  • Geopolitical factors continue to impact oil markets.
  • US crude drawdown exceeded analyst expectations.
  • Russian oil supply remains a key market factor.

Frequently Asked Questions

What caused the recent increase in oil prices?
Oil prices climbed about 2% due to a bigger-than-expected weekly drop in U.S. crude inventories, which saw a drawdown of 6.0 million barrels.
How did geopolitical events influence oil prices?
Geopolitical factors, particularly the ongoing negotiations regarding the Ukraine conflict, have caused fluctuations in oil prices, with optimism about a resolution impacting market sentiment.
What are the current prices for Brent and WTI crude?
As of the latest report, Brent crude futures were priced at $66.81 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $63.30.
What is the significance of the U.S. crude inventory report?
The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a significant draw from crude inventories, which exceeded analysts' expectations and is seen as a bullish indicator for the market.
What role does Russia play in the global oil market?
Russia is the second-largest producer of crude oil, and any agreements that ease sanctions could increase the amount of Russian oil available for export, impacting global oil supply.

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