Finance

Italy business and consumer morale pick up in January

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on January 29, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 27, 2026

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Graph showing improvement in Italian business and consumer morale in January - Global Banking & Finance Review
This image illustrates the rise in Italian business and consumer morale for January 2024, reflecting positive economic sentiment amidst challenges. It highlights the increase in ISTAT's business morale index and consumer confidence.
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ROME (Reuters) - Morale among Italian businesses and consumers improved unexpectedly in January, data showed on Wednesday, brightening prospects for the euro zone's third largest economy which has

Italy business and consumer morale pick up in January

ROME (Reuters) - Morale among Italian businesses and consumers improved unexpectedly in January, data showed on Wednesday, brightening prospects for the euro zone's third largest economy which has stalled in recent months.

National statistics institute ISTAT's composite business morale index, combining surveys of the manufacturing, retail, construction and services sectors, came in at 95.7, compared with 95.3 in December.

The sub-index measuring morale among manufacturers climbed to 86.8 from 85.9, above a median forecast of 85.5 in a Reuters survey of analysts.

This increase, coupled with a marked improvement in sentiment in the construction sector, outweighed modest declines in the retail and services sectors.

Consumer confidence rose this month to 98.2 from 96.3 in December, ISTAT said, easily beating a median forecast of 96.0 in Reuters' poll and posting the strongest reading since September.

Italian gross domestic product stagnated in the third quarter of last year from the previous three months, and ISTAT has said it expects no substantial pick up when it issues a preliminary estimate for Q4 GDP on Thursday.

The statistics bureau forecast last month that full-year 2024 growth will come in at around 0.5%, half the government's official 1.0% target.

Most analysts and forecasting institutes also expect this year's GDP expansion to be significantly below Rome's official forecast of 1.2%.

(Reporting By Gavin Jones)

Key Takeaways

  • Italy's business morale index rose to 95.7 in January.
  • Consumer confidence increased to 98.2, the highest since September.
  • Manufacturing morale exceeded analyst expectations.
  • Construction sector sentiment improved significantly.
  • GDP growth forecasts remain below government targets.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the business morale index in January?
The composite business morale index for January came in at 95.7, up from 95.3 in December.
How did consumer confidence change in January?
Consumer confidence rose to 98.2 in January from 96.3 in December, surpassing the median forecast.
What are the GDP growth expectations for Italy in 2024?
ISTAT forecasts a full-year growth of around 0.5% for 2024, which is below the government's target of 1.0%.
Which sectors showed improvement in business morale?
The manufacturing and construction sectors showed marked improvement, while retail and services experienced modest declines.
What does the increase in morale indicate for Italy's economy?
The unexpected improvement in business and consumer morale brightens prospects for Italy's economy, the third largest in the euro zone.

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