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Italy Jan EU-harmonised CPI accelerates to 1.7% y/y, above forecast

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on February 3, 2025

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· Last updated: January 26, 2026

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ROME (Reuters) - Italian EU-harmonised consumer prices (HICP) fell 0.7% month-on-month in January but the annual inflation rate accelerated to 1.7% from 1.4% in December, preliminary figures showed on

Italy's January Inflation Rate Rises to 1.7%, Exceeding Expectations

ROME (Reuters) - Italian EU-harmonised consumer prices (HICP) fell 0.7% month-on-month in January but the annual inflation rate accelerated to 1.7% from 1.4% in December, preliminary figures showed on Monday.

The reading was significantly higher than expected. A Reuters survey of nine analysts had pointed to a 1.1% month-on-month decrease and a 1.4% year-on-year rise.

Official statistics agency ISTAT also reported that in January the main domestic price index (NIC), was up 0.6% on the month and up 1.5% annually, following a 1.3% annual rate the previous month.

The acceleration in the annual inflation rate was mainly due to energy prices and, to a lesser extent, to prices of processed food, whereas some service sector prices slowed down, ISTAT said.

Core inflation (net of fresh food and energy) was running at 1.9% year-on-year on the HICP index in January, up from 1.8% in December.

In the euro zone, inflation accelerated slightly last month to 2.5% annually from 2.4% in December.

ISTAT gave the following preliminary breakdown:

Jan Dec Nov

The EU-harmonised index (HICP):

Monthly change -0.7 +0.1 -0.1

Year-on-year inflation +1.7 +1.4 +1.5

Index (base 2015=100) 122.5 123.4 123.3

The NIC index:

Monthly change +0.6 +0.1 -0.1

Year-on-year inflation +1.5 +1.3 +1.3

Index (base 2015=100) 121.9 121.2 121.1

ISTAT gave the following sector-by-sector breakdown for the HICP in January:

Sector m/m yr/yr

Food +1.1 +2.4

Alcoholic drinks, tobacco +0.9 +2.5

Clothing -19.0 +1.0

Housing, electricity, fuel +2.3 +0.7

Domestic goods -0.2 +0.4

Health spending +0.6 +2.5

Transport -0.2 +1.0

Communications +0.1 -5.4

Recreation +1.1 +2.3

Education +0.1 +3.0

Hotels, restaurants +0.2 +2.9

Other goods, services -0.4 +2.6

(Reporting by Antonella Cinelli, editing by Gavin Jones)

Key Takeaways

  • Italy's January inflation rate increased to 1.7% year-on-year.
  • The rise was higher than the expected 1.4%.
  • Energy prices significantly contributed to the inflation increase.
  • Core inflation reached 1.9% year-on-year.
  • The EU-harmonised CPI fell 0.7% month-on-month.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the annual inflation rate in Italy for January?
The annual inflation rate in Italy accelerated to 1.7% in January, up from 1.4% in December.
What factors contributed to the rise in inflation?
The acceleration in the annual inflation rate was mainly due to increases in energy prices and, to a lesser extent, processed food prices.
How did core inflation change in January?
Core inflation, which excludes fresh food and energy, was at 1.9% year-on-year on the HICP index in January, up from 1.8% in December.
What was the month-on-month change in the EU-harmonised index?
The EU-harmonised consumer prices (HICP) fell by 0.7% month-on-month in January.
How does Italy's inflation compare to the euro zone?
In the euro zone, inflation slightly accelerated to 2.5% annually in January, compared to 2.4% in December.

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