Finance

Italy September EU-harmonised CPI rises to 1.8% y/y, slightly above forecast

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 30, 2025

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· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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Italy September EU-harmonised CPI rises to 1.8% y/y, slightly above forecast
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ROME (Reuters) -Italian EU-harmonised consumer prices (HICP) rose by a preliminary 1.3% month-on-month in September, with annual inflation increasing to 1.8%, data showed on Tuesday. The reading was

Italy's September Inflation Rate Hits 1.8%, Exceeding Expectations

Overview of Italy's Inflation Data

ROME (Reuters) -Italian EU-harmonised consumer prices (HICP) rose by a preliminary 1.3% month-on-month in September, with annual inflation increasing to 1.8%, data showed on Tuesday.

Monthly and Annual Inflation Rates

The reading was slightly above a median forecast in a Reuters survey of 8 analysts, which pointed to an increase of 1.1% month-on-month and a year-on-year rise of 1.7%.

Core Inflation Analysis

Official statistics agency ISTAT also reported that the main domestic price index (NIC) was down 0.2% on the month and up 1.6% annually in September, following a 1.6% annual rate in August.

Comparison with Analyst Forecasts

Core inflation (net of fresh food and energy) was stable at 2.2% year-on-year on the HICP index in September.

(Reporting by Antonella Cinelli, graphic by Stefano Bernabei, editing by Gavin Jones)

Key Takeaways

  • Italy's EU-harmonised CPI rose 1.8% year-on-year in September.
  • Monthly inflation increased by 1.3%, exceeding forecasts.
  • Core inflation remained stable at 2.2% year-on-year.
  • ISTAT reported a 0.2% decrease in the domestic price index.
  • Analyst forecasts were slightly below actual inflation rates.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the annual inflation rate in Italy for September?
The annual inflation rate in Italy for September rose to 1.8%.
How did the September inflation rate compare to forecasts?
The inflation rate was slightly above the median forecast of 1.7% year-on-year.
What did ISTAT report about the domestic price index?
ISTAT reported that the main domestic price index was down 0.2% month-on-month and up 1.6% annually in September.
What was the core inflation rate in September?
Core inflation, excluding fresh food and energy, remained stable at 2.2% year-on-year on the HICP index.
What was the month-on-month change in consumer prices for September?
Italian EU-harmonised consumer prices rose by a preliminary 1.3% month-on-month in September.

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