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Italy's July industrial output unexpectedly rises in renewed sign of recovery

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 10, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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Italy's July industrial output unexpectedly rises in renewed sign of recovery
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ROME (Reuters) -Italian industrial output rose unexpectedly in July by 0.4% from the month before, data showed on Wednesday, a further sign of recovery for the long-struggling manufacturing sector

Italy's July industrial output unexpectedly rises in renewed sign of recovery

ROME (Reuters) - Italian industrial output rose by 0.4% in July from the previous month, data showed on Wednesday, in a further sign of recovery for the long-struggling manufacturing sector.

A Reuters survey of 14 analysts had pointed to a 0.1% decrease.

The data was the second positive surprise in a row, after a 0.2% month-on-month rise in June compared to a forecast of a 0.1% fall.

On a work day-adjusted year-on-year basis, industrial output was up by 0.9% in July, following a 0.7% decrease in June revised from an originally reported 0.9% fall, national statistics agency ISTAT said.

Retail lobby Confcommercio said the industrial sector is showing "signs of vitality", and emphasized that July's growth extended to all major industry groups with the exception of energy.

"Signs that the downturn is over are strengthening," think tank Prometeia wrote in a report.

Some hope of recovery was also offered earlier this month by a PMI survey, showing that the Italian manufacturing sector returned to growth in August after 16 months of contraction.

Despite rising industrial output, outlook for growth at the euro zone's third largest economy is still cloudy after GDP shrank by 0.1% in the second quarter from the previous three months.

The government in April halved its economic growth estimate for 2025 to 0.6% amid mounting uncertainty due to U.S. trade tariffs.

Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti on Sunday said that the economy will likely grow by 0.6% this year, in line with the government's target.

(Reporting by Antonella Cinelli, graphic by Stefano Bernabei, editing by Giulia Segreti)

Key Takeaways

  • Italy's industrial output rose by 0.4% in July.
  • Analysts had forecasted a 0.1% decrease.
  • Output increased by 0.9% year-on-year.
  • Growth extended to all major industry groups except energy.
  • Economic outlook remains uncertain despite positive data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the percentage increase in Italy's industrial output in July?
Italian industrial output rose by 0.4% in July from the previous month.
How did analysts predict the industrial output would change?
A Reuters survey of 14 analysts had pointed to a 0.1% decrease in industrial output.
What does the PMI survey indicate about the manufacturing sector?
The PMI survey showed that the Italian manufacturing sector returned to growth in August after 16 months of contraction.
What is the current outlook for Italy's economic growth?
Despite rising industrial output, the outlook for growth at Italy's economy remains cloudy after GDP shrank by 0.1% in the second quarter.
What did the government say about economic growth estimates?
The government in April halved its economic growth estimate for 2025 to 0.6% amid uncertainty due to U.S. trade tariffs.

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