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Mondi's dour outlook sends paper and packaging shares lower

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on October 6, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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(Reuters) -British packaging and paper firm Mondi said on Monday its core profit growth slowed in the third quarter due to weak demand and lower prices, and warned that challenges will persist this

Mondi Warns of Weak Demand, Driving Down Paper and Packaging Stocks

Mondi's Market Challenges and Financial Outlook

By DhanushVignesh Babu and Yadarisa Shabong

Impact on Mondi Shares

(Reuters) -Paper and packaging company Mondi warned on Monday of weak demand and falling prices across most pulp and paper grades, sending shares of the British company and its global competitors lower.

Industry Response and Competitor Performance

The industry has faced a prolonged downturn and the companies that remain after a period of consolidation over the last two years are navigating several challenges, including the effect of U.S. tariffs on the flow of global goods and a weak economic backdrop in Europe.

Future Projections and Analyst Ratings

Demand for packaging has not become worse, nor has it become better, Mondi CEO Andrew King told analysts, adding that weakness in fine paper has persisted, with competitors fighting for share in a shrinking market.

"If one started to see some consumer confidence returning, some manufacturing confidence returning, that can change things quite quickly," King said, although he remained cautious about the short-term outlook.

Mondi's shares tumbled more than 17% to a 12-year low, headed for their biggest one-day percentage drop ever and the second-biggest faller on the STOXX 600 index.

European rivals including Enso, UPM and SCA were also lower while International Paper and Smurfit WestRock dropped about 4% in U.S. premarket trading.

"It is hard to see the corrugated market improving from these trough levels in the next couple of years," J.P. Morgan said in a note on Sunday as it downgraded Mondi's stock rating to "neutral" from "overweight".

Mondi, which operates in more than 30 countries, said it is reorganising into two business units from three and will delay a planned investment in a new paper machine at its Canadian pulp mill as it focuses on cost cuts and cash generation. 

Third-quarter underlying core profit fell to 223 million euros ($260.35 million) from 274 million euros in the second quarter.

Jefferies said that points to 2025 underlying core earnings of 1 billion to 1.05 billion euros, below the average analyst estimate of 1.16 billion euros compiled by LSEG.

($1 = 0.8565 euros)

(Reporting by DhanushVignesh Babu and Yadarisa Shabong in Bengaluru; Editing by Tasim Zahid, Kirsten Donovan)

Key Takeaways

  • Mondi warns of weak demand and falling prices.
  • Mondi shares hit a 12-year low, dropping over 17%.
  • Competitors like Enso, UPM, and SCA also see declines.
  • Mondi reorganizes business units and delays investments.
  • Analysts downgrade Mondi's stock amid market challenges.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is weak demand?
Weak demand refers to a situation where consumers are not purchasing products or services at expected levels, often leading to lower sales and revenues for companies.
What are pulp and paper grades?
Pulp and paper grades refer to the various types of paper products produced from wood pulp, categorized based on their quality, usage, and manufacturing process.
What is market capitalisation?
Market capitalisation is the total market value of a company's outstanding shares of stock, calculated by multiplying the share price by the total number of shares.
What is a financial crisis?
A financial crisis is a situation where financial assets suddenly lose a significant part of their nominal value, often leading to widespread economic instability.

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