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Russia says OPEC+ may reverse oil output after April, Kazakhstan pledges cuts

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 7, 2025

3 min read

· Last updated: January 25, 2026

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Russia says OPEC+ may reverse oil output after April, Kazakhstan pledges cuts
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MOSCOW (Reuters) - Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Friday that the OPEC+ group agreed to start increasing oil production from April, but could reverse the decision afterwards if

Russia and Kazakhstan Adjust Oil Production Plans Amid OPEC+ Changes

By Olesya Astakhova, Mariya Gordeyeva and Maha El Dahan

MOSCOW/ALMATY/DUBAI (Reuters) -Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Friday that the OPEC+ group agreed to start increasing oil production from April, but could reverse the decision afterwards if there are market imbalances.

Speaking at an online briefing almost simultaneously with Novak, officials from Kazakhstan, which has frequently exceeded the OPEC+ production quotas, pledged to cut output in March, April and May.

Novak also said Russia produced less oil in February than the quota it agreed with the OPEC+ group, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies.

Eight OPEC+ members taking part in OPEC+'s most recent layer of output cuts held a virtual meeting on Monday and agreed to proceed with the April increase, the first by the group since 2022. The increase is 138,000 barrels per day, according to Reuters calculations.

Novak told reporters that the group will go ahead with the April increase, but after that it may consider other steps.

"If there is an imbalance in the market, we can always play in the other direction," he said.

Global oil prices rose more than $1 a barrel after his comments. [O/R]

KAZAKHSTAN

Industry sources told Reuters that record output from Kazakhstan helped sway this week's OPEC+ decision.

The world's largest landlocked country has been producing at a record high, and well above its quota, as U.S. oil major Chevron expands output at the largest Kazakh oilfield, Tengiz.

Several other members of the group, including top producer Saudi Arabia, were angered by the rising output from Kazakhstan, three OPEC+ sources told Reuters.

Kazakhstan's Energy Minister Almassadam Satkaliyev told an online briefing of reporters and analysts that the country was producing oil above quota, but the government had tasked oil majors to cut production.

His deputy, Alibek Zhamauov, said the country will cut oil production in March, April and May, as well as exports via the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC), its main exporting route.

Kazakhstan's OEPC+ production quota is set at 1.468 million barrels per day (bpd).

"In March, we will strive to achieve the OPEC+ quota of about 1.5 million bpd," he said.

Kazakhstan raised crude and gas condensate output in February to a record high of 2.12 million bpd.

A pumping station on the Russian stretch of the CPC pipeline was hit by a Ukrainian drone last month. There have been conflicting reports about the scale of the damage and its impact on exports.

Zhamauov said CPC has embarked on repair works and while exports have been steady, they will decrease in March. He didn't specify if the cuts will be due to the aftermath of the drone strike or output reduction.

(Writing by Vladimir Soldatkin, editing by Tomasz Janowski and Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

Key Takeaways

  • OPEC+ plans to increase oil production in April.
  • Russia may reverse the decision if market imbalances occur.
  • Kazakhstan pledges to cut oil production in March, April, and May.
  • Kazakhstan's output exceeded OPEC+ quotas in February.
  • Caspian Pipeline Consortium exports to decrease in March.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did Russia's Deputy Prime Minister announce regarding OPEC+ oil production?
Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak announced that OPEC+ agreed to start increasing oil production from April, but may reverse this decision if market conditions change.
How is Kazakhstan responding to its oil production quotas?
Kazakhstan has pledged to cut oil output in March, April, and May, despite having frequently exceeded its OPEC+ production quotas.
What impact did Novak's comments have on global oil prices?
Global oil prices rose more than $1 a barrel following Novak's comments about the potential for OPEC+ to adjust production levels.
What challenges is Kazakhstan facing with its oil exports?
Kazakhstan's oil exports are set to decrease in March due to planned production cuts and ongoing repair works on the Caspian Pipeline Consortium following a drone strike.
What was Kazakhstan's oil production in February?
Kazakhstan raised its crude and gas condensate output in February to a record high of 2.12 million barrels per day, exceeding its OPEC+ quota.

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