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Poland's manufacturing sector contracts sharply in July, PMI shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 1, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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(Reuters) -Poland's manufacturing sector continued to contract sharply in July, although the pace of decline eased slightly compared to June, a survey showed on Friday.  The S&P Global Poland

Poland's Manufacturing Sector Sees Continued Decline in July

(Reuters) -Poland's manufacturing sector continued to contract sharply in July, although the pace of decline eased slightly compared to June, a survey showed on Friday. 

The S&P Global Poland Manufacturing PMI registered 45.9 in July, up from 44.8 in June, indicating a marked deterioration in business conditions, S&P Global reported. The July result was in line with a Reuters poll forecast.

PMI readings above 50.0 indicate growth in activity, while those below that level point to a contraction. Despite the slight improvement, July's PMI was the second-strongest contraction since mid-2024, reflecting ongoing challenges for Polish manufacturers.

New orders fell for the fourth consecutive month, although the rate of contraction eased since June. Export orders were particularly weak, declining at the steepest rate since August 2023, with Germany often cited as a source of weakness.

Employment in the sector was cut for the fifth time in 2025, although the rate of job shedding cooled compared to previous months. Manufacturers also reduced input buying at the fastest pace since October 2023, leading to a further decrease in input stocks.

"Poland's manufacturers reported a further marked deterioration in operating conditions in July," said Trevor Balchin, Economics Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Despite the downturn, output expectations for the next 12 months showed some recovery, with nearly one-third of firms anticipating growth, up from 24% in June. However, optimism remained subdued, with U.S. tariffs and competition from Asia posing threats to sales.

"The July data did at least suggest the worst of the current downturn may have passed, however, with slower declines in output, new orders and jobs, with the 12-month outlook rebounding," said Balchin.

(Reporting by Reuters; Editing by Toby Chopra)

Key Takeaways

  • Poland's manufacturing PMI rose slightly to 45.9 in July.
  • The sector continues to face significant contraction.
  • Export orders declined steeply, impacting growth.
  • Employment cuts persisted, though at a slower rate.
  • Optimism for future growth remains subdued.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the PMI for Poland's manufacturing sector in July?
The S&P Global Poland Manufacturing PMI registered 45.9 in July, up from 44.8 in June.
How do PMI readings indicate economic activity?
PMI readings above 50.0 indicate growth in activity, while those below that level point to a contraction.
What trend was observed in new orders for July?
New orders fell for the fourth consecutive month, although the rate of contraction eased since June.
What is the outlook for the manufacturing sector in the next 12 months?
Despite the downturn, nearly one-third of firms anticipate growth in the next 12 months, showing some recovery in output expectations.
What did Trevor Balchin say about the current downturn?
He noted that the July data suggested the worst of the current downturn may have passed, with slower declines in output, new orders, and jobs.

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