Finance

Rate cuts in Poland may start in the second half of 2025, says IMF representative

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 5, 2025

1 min read

· Last updated: January 25, 2026

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Rate cuts in Poland may start in the second half of 2025, says IMF representative
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WARSAW (Reuters) - Monetary policy easing in Poland may begin in the second half of 2025, International Monetary Found (IMF) representative in Poland Geoff Gottlieb said on Wednesday during the

Rate cuts in Poland may start in the second half of 2025, says IMF representa...

WARSAW (Reuters) - Monetary policy easing in Poland may begin in the second half of 2025, International Monetary Found (IMF) representative in Poland Geoff Gottlieb said on Wednesday during the European Financial Congress event in Warsaw.

He added that the current level of Polish interest rates was restrictive, "well above neutral rate".

"Our view is that cuts possibly can begin in the second-half of this year but should move fairly slowly given all the risks to this inflation," Gottlieb said.

"The final step on inflation is not yet done, so it’s important not to rush the return to a neutral monetary stance."

The National Bank of Poland (NBP) has kept interest rates unchanged since October 2023, with the reference rate at 5.75% and central bank governor Adam Glapinski said in February there were no grounds for lowering borrowing costs at the moment.

Inflation was 5.3% in January, while the central bank's inflation target is 2.5% plus or minus one percentage point.

(Reporting by Karol Badohal; writing by Pawel Florkiewicz; Editing by Toby Chopra)

Key Takeaways

  • IMF expects Poland to start rate cuts in the second half of 2025.
  • Current Polish interest rates are considered restrictive.
  • Inflation in Poland was 5.3% in January 2023.
  • NBP has maintained interest rates since October 2023.
  • IMF advises a cautious approach to rate cuts.

Frequently Asked Questions

When might rate cuts begin in Poland according to the IMF?
The IMF representative indicated that monetary policy easing in Poland may start in the second half of 2025.
What is the current reference interest rate in Poland?
The reference interest rate in Poland has been unchanged at 5.75% since October 2023.
What is Poland's inflation target?
The central bank's inflation target is 2.5%, with a permissible range of plus or minus one percentage point.
What did the IMF representative say about the pace of rate cuts?
Geoff Gottlieb stated that any cuts should move fairly slowly due to ongoing risks related to inflation.
What was the inflation rate in Poland in January?
Inflation in Poland was reported at 5.3% in January.

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