Finance

Russia's GDP growth slows to 1.1% in Q2, says Rosstat

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 13, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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Russia's GDP growth slows to 1.1% in Q2, says Rosstat
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(Reuters) -Russia's gross domestic product grew by 1.1% in the second quarter of 2025 compared with 4.0% growth in the same period last year, federal statistics service Rosstat said on Wednesday,

Russia's GDP Growth Declines to 1.1% in Q2 Amid Economic Challenges

Economic Overview and Forecasts

(Reuters) -Russia's gross domestic product grew by 1.1% in the second quarter of 2025 compared with 4.0% growth in the same period last year, federal statistics service Rosstat said on Wednesday, another sign that Russia's economy is slowing.

Impact of Defense Spending

Soaring defence spending saw Russia's economy rebound from contraction in 2022 as Western sanctions over the war in Ukraine took their toll, but this year officials have warned of recession risks as the economy cools.

Inflation and Interest Rates

Elevated interest rates for several months, as the central bank seeks to reduce stubbornly high inflation, have hampered Russia's economic growth prospects.

IMF Growth Projections

President Vladimir Putin has dismissed claims that the war in Ukraine is devastating Russia's economy, citing low debt and economic diversification as signs of resilience.

After GDP growth of 4.3% last year, the central bank forecasts a 1-2% rise this year, while the economy ministry has said it will tweak its current 2.5% forecast.

In late July, the International Monetary Fund raised its outlook for economic growth across emerging market and developing economies this year to 4.1% from 3.7%, driven by frontloading and a more upbeat view on China, but Russia was one of the few exceptions.

According to the IMF, Russia's economy is now expected to expand by 0.9% this year, compared with its previous view of 1.5% growth.

(Reporting by Darya Korsunskaya; writing by Alexander Marrow; editing by Mark Heinrich)

Key Takeaways

  • Russia's GDP growth slowed to 1.1% in Q2 2025.
  • Economic challenges include high inflation and interest rates.
  • Defense spending previously boosted the economy.
  • IMF projects 0.9% growth for Russia in 2025.
  • Recession risks are a concern for Russian officials.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is inflation?
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
What are interest rates?
Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money or the return on savings, expressed as a percentage of the principal amount. They are influenced by central bank policies and economic conditions.
What is a recession?
A recession is a significant decline in economic activity across the economy, lasting longer than a few months, typically visible in GDP, income, employment, manufacturing, and retail sales.
What is the International Monetary Fund (IMF)?
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is an international organization that aims to promote global economic stability and growth by providing financial assistance, policy advice, and technical assistance to member countries.

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