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Rouble hits over six-month high after Ukraine pummels Moscow with drones

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 11, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 24, 2026

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Rouble hits over six-month high after Ukraine pummels Moscow with drones
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By Alexander Marrow (Reuters) - The Russian rouble strengthened to a more than six-week high against the dollar on Tuesday, buoyed by subdued imports and hopes for a resolution to the war in Ukraine,

Rouble hits over six-month high after Ukraine pummels Moscow with drones

By Alexander Marrow

(Reuters) - The Russian rouble strengthened to a more than six-week high against the dollar on Tuesday, buoyed by subdued imports and hopes for a resolution to the war in Ukraine, even after Kyiv launched its biggest drone attack on Moscow.

Ukraine's attack, in which at least 91 drones targeted the Russian capital, sparked fires, closed airports and forced dozens of flights to be diverted, Russian officials said.

By 1319 GMT, the rouble was up 2.7% at 85.25 to the dollar in over-the-counter market trade, its strongest level since August 7, 2024. Against the Chinese yuan, the most traded foreign currency in Russia, the rouble was up 0.9% to 11.77.

The rouble is up against the dollar this year, mostly thanks to expectations of improved relations between Moscow and Washington that could produce some conflict resolution in Ukraine and the possible easing of sanctions against Russia.

A trader at a major Russian bank, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said active rouble buying was happening because there is a feeling in the market that agreements may have already been reached.

The rouble brushed aside U.S. President Donald Trump's threat last week of imposing banking sanctions on Russia to force it to the negotiating table and was unmoved by Ukraine's drone bombardment on Tuesday.

Strong exports, subdued imports and the geopolitical risk premium is keeping the national currency from devaluation, said BCS World of Investments analysts.

"The national currency's exchange rate can only devalue if negotiations are disrupted without prospects for their resumption, but this is not the baseline scenario," they said.

Alfa Bank strategist John Walsh said Russian investors were waiting for news from crunch talks between Ukrainian and U.S. officials in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday, which could provoke a sharp volatility spike.

Brent crude oil, a global benchmark for Russia's main export, was up 0.3% at $69.49 a barrel.

(Reporting by Alexander Marrow, Editing by Louise Heavens and Ed Osmond)

Key Takeaways

  • Rouble strengthens to a six-month high against the dollar.
  • Ukraine's drone attack on Moscow involved 91 drones.
  • Market hopes for improved US-Russia relations boost rouble.
  • Subdued imports and strong exports support the currency.
  • Geopolitical risks influence the rouble's stability.

Frequently Asked Questions

What caused the rouble to strengthen recently?
The rouble strengthened due to subdued imports and hopes for a resolution to the war in Ukraine, despite ongoing drone attacks.
How much did the rouble rise against the dollar?
By 1319 GMT, the rouble was up 2.7% at 85.25 to the dollar, marking its strongest level since August 7, 2024.
What are analysts saying about the rouble's future?
Analysts from BCS World of Investments believe the rouble will not devalue unless negotiations are disrupted without prospects for resumption.
What external factors are influencing the rouble's performance?
Strong exports, subdued imports, and geopolitical risks are keeping the rouble from devaluation, according to market analysts.
What is the current price of Brent crude oil?
Brent crude oil, a key export for Russia, was priced at $69.49 a barrel, up 0.3%.

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