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Warship maker TKMS forecasts higher margins as defence spending soars

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 30, 2025

3 min read

· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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Warship maker TKMS forecasts higher margins as defence spending soars
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By Christoph Steitz and Tom Käckenhoff FRANKFURT/DUESSELDORF (Reuters) -TKMS, the defence division to be spun off by German conglomerate Thyssenkrupp, plans a payout ratio of 30 to 50% of net profit

TKMS Anticipates Increased Profit Margins Amid Rising Defence Spending

By Christoph Steitz and Tom Käckenhoff

FRANKFURT/DUESSELDORF (Reuters) -TKMS, the defence business that German conglomerate Thyssenkrupp aims to spin off this autumn, plans to raise its profit margin to more than 7% to close a gap with rivals, banking on soaring military demand amid fears of Russian aggression.

TKMS, which makes submarines, frigates as well as sensor and mine-hunting technology, has more than tripled its order backlog in five years. It now stands at 18.6 billion euros ($21.8 billion) as governments around the world beef up warship fleets.

In the medium term, TKMS plans to raise its operating profit margin to more than 7%, compared with 4.3% in the 2023/24 fiscal year, and is targeting average annual sales growth of 10%, it said on Tuesday at a capital markets day.

FUELLED BY GEOPOLITICAL MOMENTUM

"As TKMS, we are not only ideally positioned for the spin-off, but also to meet the dynamic demand of the market," TKMS CEO Oliver Burkhard said.

TKMS has helped parent Thyssenkrupp's shares to triple in value this year, as investors have flocked to defence stocks amid Russia's war in Ukraine and dwindling certainty over U.S. military support for Europe.

TKMS expects its addressable market to double to 61 billion euros by 2033, up from 31 billion in 2024.

Thyssenkrupp plans to spin off 49% of TKMS to its shareholders, with analysts at Jefferies saying it could reach a market value of around 2.3 billion euros ($2.70 billion), or nearly a third of Thyssenkrupp's total.

BERLIN SEEKS INFLUENCE

The spin-off comes as Franco-German defence supplier KNDS considers an initial public offering in the coming months, a deal that could see the German government take a stake in the group.

Berlin in July also secured substantial influence over TKMS - including a right of approval if a stake of 25% or more were to be sold after the spin-off - in line with its ambition to keep control over key defence infrastructure.

Shares in Thyssenkrupp were 0.3% lower at 0943 GMT, with a local trader saying the margin target was "not ambitious enough" relative to peers.

Last year, the maritime division of Britain's BAE posted an underlying operating profit margin of 7.7%, while France's Naval Group delivered a 7% margin on its profit from continuing operations.

TKMS aims for a payout ratio of 30 to 50% of net profit and wants to pay its first dividend in 2027.

($1 = 0.8522 euros)

(Reporting by Christoph Steitz and Tom Kaeckenhoff. Additional reporting by Zuzanna Szymanska. Editing by Miranda Murray and Mark Potter)

Key Takeaways

  • TKMS aims to increase its profit margin to over 7%.
  • Order backlog has tripled to 18.6 billion euros.
  • Thyssenkrupp plans a spin-off of TKMS this autumn.
  • Berlin seeks influence over TKMS post spin-off.
  • Market value of TKMS could reach 2.3 billion euros.

Frequently Asked Questions

What profit margin does TKMS aim to achieve?
TKMS plans to raise its operating profit margin to more than 7%, compared to 4.3% in the 2023/24 fiscal year.
How has TKMS's order backlog changed recently?
TKMS has more than tripled its order backlog in five years, which now stands at 18.6 billion euros ($21.8 billion).
What is the expected market value of TKMS after the spin-off?
Analysts at Jefferies estimate that TKMS could reach a market value of around 2.3 billion euros ($2.70 billion) after the spin-off.
What influence does the German government have over TKMS?
The German government secured substantial influence over TKMS, including a right of approval for any stake of 25% or more sold after the spin-off.
When does TKMS plan to pay its first dividend?
TKMS aims for a payout ratio of 30 to 50% of net profit and wants to pay its first dividend in 2027.

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