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US import dependence on EU on the rise, outpacing China, study finds

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 18, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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US import dependence on EU on the rise, outpacing China, study finds
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By Rene Wagner and Miranda Murray BERLIN (Reuters) -The United States relies more heavily on imports from the European Union than commonly assumed, with the bloc surpassing China in both total value

US Imports from EU Surpass China, Highlighting Growing Dependence

Growing US Dependence on EU Imports

By Rene Wagner and Miranda Murray

Import Value Comparison

BERLIN (Reuters) -The United States relies more heavily on imports from the European Union than commonly assumed, with the bloc surpassing China in both total value and the number of goods, according to a study from Germany's IW economic institute.

Impact of Tariff Talks

That dependence has grown significantly over the past 15 years, with the number of product groups in which at least 50% of imports came from the EU rising to over 3,100 last year, from more than 2,600 in 2010, according to IW. 

Future Trade Considerations

The findings suggest EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen could have had a stronger hand in tariff talks with Washington that led to a baseline rate of 15% on most EU goods, it said.

The total import value of those goods - which include chemical products, electrical goods machinery and equipment - reached $287 billion, nearly 2.5 times more than in 2010.

By comparison, China last year accounted for 2,925 of those product groups, with a total value of $247 billion.

U.S. dependence on China has decreased significantly over time in the course of an obvious de-risking process, said IW.

EU products with consistently high import shares are likely to be difficult to replace in the short term, a factor the bloc should keep in mind if trade tensions escalate, said IW. 

As a last resort, the EU could target goods critical to the U.S. economy for export restrictions, the institute said.

While trade data alone cannot fully capture how essential these goods are to U.S. buyers, the study "can be used to make it clear to the Americans that if they continue to raise tariffs, they will be shooting themselves in the foot", said co-author Samina Sultan.

($1 = 0.8440 euros)

(Reporting by Rene Wagner and Miranda Murray; Editing by Nia Williams)

Key Takeaways

  • US imports from the EU have surpassed those from China.
  • The number of EU product groups with significant US imports has increased.
  • EU's import value to the US reached $287 billion last year.
  • US dependence on China has decreased due to de-risking.
  • EU could leverage its position in future trade negotiations.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has US import dependence on the EU changed over time?
US reliance on imports from the EU has increased significantly over the past 15 years, with the number of product groups where at least 50% of imports came from the EU rising to over 3,100 last year.
What is the total import value of EU goods to the US?
The total import value of EU goods reached $287 billion, nearly 2.5 times more than in 2010.
How does US import dependence on China compare to that of the EU?
Last year, China accounted for 2,925 product groups with a total value of $247 billion, indicating a significant decrease in US dependence on China over time.
What could the EU do in response to rising US tariffs?
As a last resort, the EU could target goods critical to the US economy for export restrictions, which could escalate trade tensions.
What implications do these findings have for US-EU trade negotiations?
The findings suggest that EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen could have had a stronger position in tariff talks with Washington, particularly given the rising import values from the EU.

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