Finance

Vitol CEO expects slight drop in US oil output this year due to lower prices

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 17, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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Vitol CEO expects slight drop in US oil output this year due to lower prices
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Vitol CEO Predicts Minor Decline in US Oil Production This Year

By Florence Tan

KUALA LUMPUR (Reuters) -The chief executive of top energy trader Vitol expects a slight reduction in U.S. oil production this year due to lower prices, he said on Tuesday.

"With slightly lower prices ... we're beginning to see some impact on investment and production. And there's nowhere more obvious for that than within the U.S. and within the shale industry," Russell Hardy said at the Energy Asia conference.

Lower investment and production, however, are not a big concern as there is a lot of additional capacity coming on from OPEC and other countries, he added, referring to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.

Sources have told Reuters that behind OPEC+'s plan to ramp up oil output more rapidly in May, June and July than first planned is also the objective of taking on U.S. shale production to win back market share.

Hardy expressed concern about the conflict in the Middle East, adding that it is an uncertain time, but he said oil demand is increasing.

Benchmark oil has seen large swings in price movements on concerns that the Iran-Israel conflict may intensify and disrupt supply from the key Middle East producing region. [O/R]

Israel and Iran attacked each other for a fifth straight day on Tuesday, and U.S. President Donald Trump urged Iranians to evacuate Tehran, citing what he said was the country's rejection of a deal to curb nuclear weapons development.

(Reporting by Florence Tan and Sudarshan Varadhan; Writing by Emily Chow; Editing by Himani Sarkar and Jamie Freed)

Key Takeaways

  • Vitol CEO expects a slight decline in US oil production.
  • Lower prices impact investment and production in the shale industry.
  • OPEC's increased capacity offsets US production concerns.
  • Middle East conflict raises oil supply uncertainty.
  • Oil demand is increasing despite geopolitical tensions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Vitol CEO expect for US oil production this year?
The CEO expects a slight reduction in U.S. oil production this year due to lower prices.
How are lower oil prices affecting investment?
Lower prices are beginning to impact investment and production, especially within the U.S. shale industry.
What is OPEC's plan regarding oil output?
OPEC+ plans to ramp up oil output more rapidly to counter U.S. shale production and regain market share.
What concerns did Hardy express?
Hardy expressed concern about the conflict in the Middle East, mentioning that it is an uncertain time but noted that oil demand is increasing.
What recent events have affected oil prices?
Benchmark oil prices have seen large swings due to concerns that the Iran-Israel conflict may intensify and disrupt supply from the Middle East.

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