Finance

Bank of England's Bailey says jobs market slowing but inflation outlook uncertain

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 26, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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Bank of England's Bailey says jobs market slowing but inflation outlook uncertain
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LONDON (Reuters) -Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said on Thursday that a recent pickup in inflation created more uncertainty about the medium-term picture for price growth but he also noted

Bank of England's Bailey says jobs market slowing but inflation outlook uncer...

LONDON (Reuters) -Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said on Thursday that a recent pickup in inflation created more uncertainty about the medium-term picture for price growth but he also noted signs of a slowdown in the jobs market in Britain.

"In recent months, the evidence that slack is opening up has strengthened, especially in the labour market," Bailey said in a speech at a conference held by the British Chambers of Commerce.

"But there remain uncertainties around the overall balance between supply and demand in the economy as well as the remaining inflation persistence in the system."

Bailey reiterated the central bank's guidance on borrowing costs, saying rates were not on a pre-set path but were likely to come down gradually.

The central bank governor was among the majority of Monetary Policy Committee members who last week voted to keep borrowing costs on hold at 4.25%.

Investors are betting on the BoE cutting rates in two further quarter-point moves to 3.75% by the end of 2025.

Bailey said elevated global uncertainties continued to impact the UK economy but the direct impact from trade policies on world output could be smaller than initially thought.

"There have been significant moves in the oil price following the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, although not always in the direction we may intuitively have expected," Bailey said. "That only goes to show the unpredictability of events in the world today."

(Reporting by William Schomberg; writing by Suban Abdulla)

Key Takeaways

  • UK jobs market shows signs of slowing.
  • Inflation outlook remains uncertain.
  • Interest rates likely to decrease gradually.
  • Global uncertainties affect UK economy.
  • Oil prices impacted by Middle East conflict.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did Andrew Bailey say about the jobs market?
Bailey noted that evidence of slack opening up in the labor market has strengthened in recent months.
What is the current borrowing cost set by the Bank of England?
The Bank of England's borrowing costs are currently held at 4.25% as decided by the Monetary Policy Committee.
What is the outlook for inflation according to Bailey?
Bailey mentioned that the recent increase in inflation has created more uncertainty regarding the medium-term outlook for price growth.
How are investors reacting to potential rate cuts?
Investors are anticipating that the Bank of England will implement two further quarter-point cuts, bringing rates down to 3.75% by the end of 2025.
What global factors are affecting the UK economy?
Bailey indicated that elevated global uncertainties continue to impact the UK economy, though the direct effects of trade policies may be less significant than previously thought.

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