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UK economy shrinks again in May, raising new worries over outlook

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 11, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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UK economy shrinks again in May, raising new worries over outlook
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(Reuters) -Britain's economic output shrank by 0.1% in May, official data showed on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters had mostly forecast that gross domestic product would rise by 0.1% from April's

UK Economy Faces Second Consecutive Monthly Contraction in May

By Andy Bruce and William Schomberg

(Reuters) -Britain's economy contracted unexpectedly for a second month running in May, underlining worries about momentum going into the second half of the year in an increasingly uncertain global environment, official data showed on Friday.

Gross domestic product declined by 0.1% after a 0.3% drop in April, the Office for National Statistics said.

Economists polled by Reuters had mostly forecast that gross domestic product would rise by 0.1% from April's level. While the services sector eked out a sliver of growth, declines in industrial output and construction dragged down overall output.

The reading poses downside risks to expectations that the economy grew in the second quarter of 2025, after a surge early in the year.

Britain's economy expanded rapidly in the first quarter of 2025, outstripping growth in other countries in the Group of Seven advanced economies. In May the Bank of England revised up its full-year growth forecast to 1%.

However, much of the growth in early 2025 was likely to have been linked to the expiry of a tax break for some home purchases in April which boosted the sector before the deadline, and a rush by manufacturers to beat higher U.S. import tariffs.

The BoE has said it thinks the economy grew by about 0.25% in the second quarter of 2025. To achieve any growth for the quarter, the ONS said June's monthly data would need to show at least a flat reading.

(Reporting by Andy BruceEditing by William Schomberg and William James)

Key Takeaways

  • UK economy shrank by 0.1% in May after a 0.3% drop in April.
  • Unexpected contraction raises concerns for the second half of 2025.
  • Services sector saw slight growth, but industrial output declined.
  • Bank of England revised growth forecast to 1% for 2025.
  • June's data needs a flat reading for quarterly growth.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the GDP change in May?
Gross domestic product declined by 0.1% in May, following a 0.3% drop in April.
What are the implications of the GDP decline?
The decline raises concerns about the economic momentum heading into the second half of the year.
How did the services sector perform?
While the services sector managed to achieve slight growth, declines in industrial output contributed to the overall GDP contraction.
What did the Bank of England predict for the economy?
The Bank of England estimated that the economy grew by about 0.25% in the second quarter of 2025.
What factors contributed to the growth earlier in the year?
Much of the early 2025 growth was likely linked to the expiry of a tax break for home purchases, which boosted the sector before the deadline.

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