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UK living standards set to stagnate for rest of 2020s, think tank says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 25, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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UK living standards set to stagnate for rest of 2020s, think tank says
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LONDON (Reuters) -Living standards in Britain look set to barely grow over the rest of the decade and poorer households are likely to suffer a drop, in part due to a welfare squeeze, according to a

UK Living Standards Expected to Stagnate Throughout the 2020s

LONDON (Reuters) -Living standards in Britain look set to barely grow over the rest of the decade and poorer households are likely to suffer a drop, in part due to a welfare squeeze, according to a report published by a think tank on Thursday.

Median household incomes after taxes, benefits including pensions and housing costs are on course to rise by a total of just 1% more than inflation by the 2029/30 fiscal year, the Resolution Foundation said. Lower-income families are expected to see a 1% fall.

Typical households paying mortgages will see incomes fall by 1% as the impact of higher interest rates feeds through to more borrowers. By contrast, people who own their homes outright are set to see their incomes grow by 3%, the foundation said.

The biggest winners are likely to be pensioners with their incomes forecast to rise by 5%. Families with children are set to have no income growth.

Adam Corlett, principal economist at the think tank, said the forecasts could prove to be too gloomy if the economy grows more quickly than expected. Low-income households would benefit if the government scraps a two-child limit on some family benefits, he said.

The limit was introduced by the previous Conservative government. Prime Minister Keir Starmer is considering ditching it. However, he has said he will not reverse plans to make it harder for people to claim long-term sickness and disability benefits which have run into opposition within his Labour Party.

(Writing by William Schomberg; editing by David Milliken)

Key Takeaways

  • UK living standards expected to stagnate through the 2020s.
  • Median household incomes to rise just 1% above inflation by 2029/30.
  • Lower-income families may see a 1% income fall.
  • Pensioners' incomes could rise by 5%.
  • Government policy changes could impact low-income households.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the projected growth of median household incomes in the UK?
Median household incomes after taxes and benefits are expected to rise by just 1% more than inflation by the 2029/30 fiscal year.
How will higher interest rates affect typical households?
Typical households paying mortgages are projected to see incomes fall by 1% as the impact of higher interest rates affects more borrowers.
Which group is expected to benefit the most in terms of income?
Pensioners are forecasted to be the biggest winners, with their incomes expected to rise by 5%.
What could change the gloomy forecasts for low-income households?
The forecasts could improve if the economy grows more quickly than expected, which would benefit low-income households.
What is Prime Minister Keir Starmer considering regarding welfare limits?
Prime Minister Keir Starmer is contemplating removing the welfare limit introduced by the previous Conservative government.

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