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Sterling edges up after UK data shows jump in food inflation

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 18, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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Sterling edges up after UK data shows jump in food inflation
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By Amanda Cooper LONDON (Reuters) -The pound edged higher on Wednesday as investor nervousness over the escalating conflict in the Middle East weighed on the dollar and after UK data showed consumer

Pound Gains Ground as UK Food Inflation Surges Amid Market Tensions

By Amanda Cooper

LONDON (Reuters) -The pound edged higher on Wednesday as investor nervousness over the escalating conflict in the Middle East weighed on the dollar and after UK data showed consumer inflation barely moved in May, undermining the case for prompt rate cuts.

The Office for National Statistics said on Wednesday that consumer prices rose in annual terms by 3.4% in May, in line with forecasts and down from April's 3.5% rate.

May's decline was the result of a drop in airfares, which leapt in April and the correction of a tax data error, while food prices shot up at the fastest rate in more than a year.

Sterling was last up 0.26% at $1.3462 having edged higher from around $1.3443 before the data.

The pound fell 1.09% against the dollar on Tuesday, its largest one-day decline since early April, as fighting between Israel and Iran raged for a fifth day, while the U.S. military moved fighter jets to the region. The increasing intensity of the conflict ignited a fresh wave of risk aversion among investors that drew flows into the U.S. currency.

By Wednesday, the pound had recovered some of these losses, as investors briefly shifted their focus to the outlook for UK monetary policy.

"Consumer price inflation hasn't budged in the UK, coming in at 3.4% for May. This was expected and although this is a slightly better scenario than another ramp up in price increases, it's unlikely to persuade more decision makers to vote for a rate cut tomorrow," said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown.

One element that could give Bank of England policymakers, who will publish their decision on borrowing costs on Thursday, some comfort was a decline in the rate of service sector inflation.

Services price inflation - a crucial metric for the BoE - cooled to 4.7% from 5.4% in April, matching the BoE's forecast for May. A Reuters poll had pointed to a reading of 4.8%.

Money markets show traders do not expect the BoE to cut UK rates until at least September, with the possibility of one more quarter-point cut by December.

(Reporting by Amanda Cooper; Editing by Joe Bavier)

Key Takeaways

  • Sterling increased by 0.26% following UK inflation data.
  • UK consumer prices rose by 3.4% in May.
  • Food prices in the UK surged at the fastest rate in over a year.
  • Middle East conflict influenced currency market dynamics.
  • Bank of England's monetary policy decision is anticipated.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the consumer price inflation rate in the UK for May?
The consumer price inflation rate in the UK for May was 3.4%, which was in line with forecasts and slightly down from April's 3.5%.
How did food prices change in May?
Food prices surged at the fastest rate in over a year, contributing to the overall inflation figures.
What impact did the conflict in the Middle East have on the pound?
Investor nervousness over the escalating conflict in the Middle East weighed on the dollar, allowing the pound to edge higher.
What is the outlook for the Bank of England's interest rates?
Money markets indicate that traders do not expect the Bank of England to cut UK rates until at least September, with a potential quarter-point cut by December.
What was the change in service sector inflation?
Service sector inflation cooled to 4.7% in May from 5.4% in April, matching the Bank of England's forecast.

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