Finance

Sterling ticks lower ahead of closely watched UK spending review

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 11, 2025

3 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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Sterling ticks lower ahead of closely watched UK spending review
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By Lucy Raitano (Reuters) -Sterling fell against a firmer dollar on Wednesday, as markets geared up for a multi-year UK spending review due later in the day from British finance minister Rachel Reeves

Pound Dips Ahead of Anticipated UK Spending Review Announcement

By Lucy Raitano

(Reuters) -Sterling fell against a firmer dollar on Wednesday, as markets geared up for a multi-year UK spending review due later in the day from British finance minister Rachel Reeves, who is set to reveal how public spending will be divided up.

The pound was last down 0.2% versus the dollar at $1.3472, and was weaker against the euro, which rose 0.1% to 84.68 pence.

The dollar edged up against a range of currencies after U.S. and Chinese trade representatives wrapped up two days of talks in London where they agreed on a framework to bring their tariff truce back on track.

Reeves will set out the allocation of around 2 trillion pounds ($2.7 trillion) of public spending, with plans for allocations for research and development, public transport, a new nuclear power station, nuclear submarines and prisons already announced.

"When it comes to day-to-day spending, there's still probably not enough cash to go around, so more money would need to be found in the autumn budget," said Francesco Pesole, FX strategist at ING.

"The take-away for markets today will simply be confirmation that there is very little fiscal headroom."

The only risk for sterling would come from changes in the gilt market, which can be more sensitive to anything related to UK budgets, Pesole said.

Sterling has soared almost 8% in 2025 and is not far off a three-year high of $1.3593 hit on May 26 with trade jitters and wariness over the global economic outlook underpinning dollar weakness. Meanwhile, the fact that Britain is the only country to strike a trade agreement with the U.S. has lent support to the pound.

But the outlook for the British economy remains murky. Jobs data on Tuesday showed pay growth slowed sharply and unemployment rose to its highest level in nearly four years in the three months to April.

The Bank of England is still expected to keep rates on hold at next week's meeting, with markets placing a 90% likelihood on that outcome.

Commerzbank analysts said in a note the jobs data showed the UK's real economy is not as stable as suggested by stronger than expected first-quarter growth figures published last month.

Also complicating the picture was a hotter-than-expected inflation print for April, which at the time dampened the prospect of a delay to cuts from the BoE.

(Reporting by Lucy Raitano; Editing by Amanda Cooper and Joe Bavier)

Key Takeaways

  • Sterling fell 0.2% against the dollar ahead of the UK spending review.
  • Rachel Reeves to announce allocation of £2 trillion in public spending.
  • Markets expect little fiscal headroom in the UK budget.
  • Sterling supported by UK's trade agreement with the U.S.
  • UK jobs data shows rising unemployment and slowed pay growth.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current exchange rate of Sterling against the dollar?
The pound was last down 0.2% versus the dollar at $1.3472.
What is the significance of the UK spending review?
The spending review will allocate around 2 trillion pounds of public spending, impacting various sectors including research and development and public transport.
How has the recent jobs data affected the UK economy?
Jobs data showed pay growth slowed sharply and unemployment rose to its highest level in nearly four years, indicating a less stable real economy.
What are analysts predicting for the Bank of England's interest rates?
The Bank of England is expected to keep rates on hold at next week's meeting, with markets placing a 90% likelihood on that outcome.
What factors are influencing Sterling's performance?
Sterling has soared almost 8% in 2025, but the outlook for the British economy remains uncertain due to trade jitters and inflation concerns.

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