Finance

Oil falls amid bearish Trump tariff outlook

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 10, 2025

3 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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Oil falls amid bearish Trump tariff outlook
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By Katya Golubkova TOKYO (Reuters) -Oil prices dropped on Thursday as the latest tariff announcements by U.S. President Donald Trump were perceived by market participants to threaten global economic

Oil Prices Decline as Trump Tariff Concerns Weigh on Markets

By Anna Hirtenstein

LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices fell by around 2% on Thursday, as investors weighed the potential impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs on global economic growth.

Brent crude futures were down $1.42, or 2.02%, at $68.77 a barrel by 1327 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell $1.61, or 2.35%, to $66.77 a barrel.

On Wednesday, Trump threatened Brazil, Latin America's largest economy, with a punitive 50% tariff on exports to the U.S., after a public dispute with his Brazilian counterpart Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva.

Brazil's Lula called a meeting with ministers on Thursday to decide his country's reaction, having hinted in a post on social media on Wednesday that tariffs would be met with reciprocal measures.

Trump has also announced plans for tariffs on copper, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals and his administration sent tariff letters to the Philippines, Iraq and others, adding to over a dozen letters issued earlier in the week including for powerhouse U.S. suppliers South Korea and Japan.

Trump's history of back-pedalling on tariffs has caused the market to become less reactive to such announcements, said Harry Tchilinguirian, group head of research at Onyx Capital Group.

"People are largely in wait-and-see mode, given the erratic nature of policymaking and the flexibility the administration is showing around tariffs," Tchilinguirian said.

Policymakers remain worried about the inflationary pressures from Trump's tariffs, with only "a couple" of officials at the Federal Reserve's June 17-18 meeting saying they felt interest rates could be reduced as soon as this month, minutes of the meeting released on Wednesday showed.

Higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive and reduce demand for oil.

OPEC+ oil producers are set to approve another big output boost for September, as they complete both the unwinding of voluntary production cuts by eight members and the United Arab Emirates' move to a larger quota.

Elsewhere, U.S. Secretary Of State Marco Rubio held "frank" talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in which he expressed the United States' frustration around a lack of progress in ending the war in Ukraine.

President Trump said recently he was considering a bill that would impose tougher sanctions on Russia.

(Reporting by Anna Hirtenstein and Robert Harvey in London. Additional reporting by Katya Golubkova in Tokyo and Emily Chow in Singapore; Editing by Rachna Uppal, Joe Bavier, Jane Merriman, Louise Heavens and Tomasz Janowski)

Key Takeaways

  • Oil prices fell by around 2% due to tariff concerns.
  • Trump threatened Brazil with a 50% export tariff.
  • Tariff plans include copper, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals.
  • Higher interest rates could reduce oil demand.
  • OPEC+ plans a significant output increase for September.

Frequently Asked Questions

What caused the recent decline in oil prices?
Oil prices fell by around 2% as investors considered the potential impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs on global economic growth.
What specific tariffs did Trump threaten?
Trump threatened Brazil with a punitive 50% tariff on exports to the U.S. and announced plans for tariffs on copper, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals.
How have market reactions changed regarding Trump's tariffs?
The market has become less reactive to Trump's tariff announcements due to his history of back-pedalling on such measures, leading to a wait-and-see approach among investors.
What are the implications of higher interest rates on oil demand?
Higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive, which can reduce demand for oil as consumers and businesses cut back on spending.
What decision is OPEC+ expected to make regarding oil production?
OPEC+ oil producers are set to approve another significant output boost for September, completing the unwinding of voluntary production cuts by eight members.

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