Finance

Russian central bank may cut key rate by more than 1 percentage point in July, senior central banker says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 30, 2025

1 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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Russian central bank may cut key rate by more than 1 percentage point in July, senior central banker says
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ST. PETERSBURG, Russia (Reuters) -The Russian central bank's board may consider an interest rate cut of more than 1 percentage point at its meeting on July 25 if data confirms that inflation is on

Russian Central Bank Considers More Than 1% Rate Cut in July

ST. PETERSBURG, Russia (Reuters) -The Russian central bank's board may consider an interest rate cut of more than 1 percentage point at its meeting on July 25 if data confirms that inflation is on track to slow to 4% in 2026, Deputy Governor Alexei Zabotkin said on Monday.

"If the data received by that time on the economy, the labour market, credit activity, actual inflation, and inflation expectations indicate that a slowdown in inflation to 4% is consistent with a more significant step, then this option will also be considered," Zabotkin told reporters.

At its last board meeting on June 6, the regulator cut its key interest rate by a full percentage point to 20%. Zabotkin said the cut at the upcoming meeting could be "more significant than at the meeting in June".

The central bank expects inflation to slow down to 7% to 8% in 2025 from 9.5% in 2024 and hit the target of 4% in 2026.

(Reporting by Elena Fabrichnaya; Writing by Gleb Bryanski; Editing by Alison Williams)

Key Takeaways

  • Russian central bank may cut rates by over 1% in July.
  • Decision depends on inflation data aligning with 2026 targets.
  • Current inflation expected to slow to 4% by 2026.
  • Last rate cut was 1% in June, potentially more in July.
  • Deputy Governor Zabotkin outlines economic conditions for cut.

Frequently Asked Questions

What may the Russian central bank consider at its July meeting?
The Russian central bank's board may consider an interest rate cut of more than 1 percentage point at its meeting on July 25.
What factors will influence the central bank's decision on the interest rate?
The decision will depend on data regarding the economy, labor market, credit activity, actual inflation, and inflation expectations.
What was the key interest rate after the last board meeting?
After the last board meeting on June 6, the central bank cut its key interest rate to 20%.
What are the central bank's inflation expectations for 2025?
The central bank expects inflation to slow down to 7% to 8% in 2025 from 9.5% in 2024.
When does the central bank aim to hit its inflation target?
The central bank aims to hit its inflation target of 4% by 2026.

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