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Russia's top carmaker Avtovaz expects market to shrink by 25% this year

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 18, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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Russia's top carmaker Avtovaz expects market to shrink by 25% this year
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(Reuters) -Sales of passenger cars in Russia are set to drop by 25% to 1.1 million units this year, the head of Avtovaz, the country's largest automaker, said on Wednesday. Russia's car market slumped

Avtovaz Predicts 25% Decline in Russia's Car Market This Year

(Reuters) -Sales of passenger cars in Russia are set to drop by 25% to 1.1 million units this year, the head of Avtovaz, the country's largest automaker, said on Wednesday.

Russia's car market slumped as Western companies halted sales and production soon after Moscow's February 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Spurred by the rapid arrival of Chinese carmakers, the market gradually recovered before starting to struggle again this year.

"The situation will be difficult, the market will fall, it is already quite obvious, and the volume of the decline will be about one quarter compared with last year," Avtovaz CEO Maxim Sokolov said on TV channel Russia 24.

In late 2024, Sokolov had blamed the central bank's high key interest rate as one of the difficulties facing the auto sector.

On Wednesday, Sokolov said that around 500,000 new cars were ready and waiting to be sold, but finding buyers was difficult.

In January-May, sales of new passenger cars fell 26% to 440,259 units, according to data from analytical agency Autostat, while Avtovaz's own sales fell 24.2% to 131,316 units.

"This is serious, production cannot move forward with such fluctuations," Sokolov said.

Avtovaz is taking anti-crisis measures. The company is adjusting its production plan for 2025 and expects its own sales to drop by 20-25% to 367,200 cars, the TASS news agency reported, citing Sokolov.

(Reporting by Gleb Stolyarov, writing by Alexander Marrow; Editing by Mark Trevelyan)

Key Takeaways

  • Avtovaz expects a 25% drop in Russia's car market.
  • Western companies halted sales post-Ukraine invasion.
  • Chinese carmakers initially spurred market recovery.
  • High interest rates challenge the auto sector.
  • Avtovaz adjusts production plans for 2025.

Frequently Asked Questions

What percentage drop in car sales does Avtovaz expect this year?
Avtovaz expects the car sales in Russia to drop by 25% to 1.1 million units this year.
What factors contributed to the decline in Russia's car market?
The decline in Russia's car market is attributed to Western companies halting sales and production following the invasion of Ukraine, along with increased competition from Chinese carmakers.
How did Avtovaz's sales perform in the first part of the year?
From January to May, sales of new passenger cars in Russia fell by 26% to 440,259 units, while Avtovaz's sales specifically decreased by 24.2% to 131,316 units.
What measures is Avtovaz taking in response to market challenges?
Avtovaz is implementing anti-crisis measures, adjusting its production plan for 2025, and anticipating its own sales to drop by 20-25%.
What did Avtovaz's CEO say about the current market situation?
Avtovaz CEO Maxim Sokolov stated that the situation is difficult, and the market is expected to fall significantly, with a decline of about one quarter compared to last year.

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