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Samsung flags big miss in Q2 profit, blames US AI chip curbs to China

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 8, 2025

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· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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Samsung flags big miss in Q2 profit, blames US AI chip curbs to China
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By Heekyong Yang and Joyce Lee SEOUL (Reuters) -Samsung Electronics on Tuesday projected a 56% drop in second-quarter operating profit from a year earlier, far worse than analysts expected as its

Samsung Projects 56% Drop in Q2 Profit Amid US AI Chip Restrictions

By Heekyong Yang and Joyce Lee

SEOUL (Reuters) -Samsung Electronics on Tuesday projected a far worse than expected 56% plunge in second-quarter operating profit due to weak AI chip sales, deepening investor concerns over the tech giant's ability to revive its struggling semiconductor business.

The world's biggest memory chipmaker blamed the profit miss on U.S. restrictions on advanced AI chips for China, but analysts said the decline was also due to delays in supplying high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips to key U.S. customer Nvidia.

In March, Samsung flagged meaningful progress on its latest HBM 3E 12-layer chips could come as early as June. But on Tuesday it gave no update on supply to Nvidia, only saying its improved HBM products were undergoing customer evaluation and proceeding with shipments.

Key rivals SK Hynix and Micron have benefited from robust demand for memory chips driven by AI growth in the United States, while Samsung relies more on China, where sales of advanced chips are restricted by the U.S. and competition with local rivals is growing.

"For Samsung Electronics, the key issue remains regaining competitiveness ... Everything ultimately comes back to HBM," said Ryu Young-ho, a senior analyst at NH Investment & Securities.

Potential U.S. tariffs also cloud the outlook for Samsung's mainstay chip and phone businesses, pressuring margins.

"It will also be difficult to raise prices immediately due to competition, making it challenging to sustain high margins," Ryu said.

Samsung estimated an operating profit of 4.6 trillion won for the April-June period, versus a 6.2 trillion won LSEG SmartEstimate.

That would be its weakest in six quarters, down from 10.4 trillion won in the same period a year earlier and 6.7 trillion won in the preceding quarter.

Revenue would likely fall 0.1% to 74 trillion won from a year earlier, the filing showed.

CHIP PROFIT TO PLUNGE

Samsung attributed chip profit falls partly to inventory value adjustments, without elaborating. Analysts said unsold HBM chips to Nvidia may have contributed to the large inventory writedowns.

They estimated the chip division's operating profit could come in around 500 billion won, down over 90% from a year earlier, while its phone business profit may have improved during the period.

Samsung Electronics shares slipped 0.2% against a 1.2% rise in the benchmark KOSPI as of 0341 GMT.

It said it plans to buy back 3.9 trillion won ($2.85 billion) worth of its shares, part of a 10 trillion won buyback announced last November.

Analysts said they expect Samsung's profit to improve gradually, supported by the launch of new phones and growth in sales of HBM chips to non-Nvidia customers.

Samsung said earnings in its foundry business also fell, driven by sales restrictions and related inventory value adjustments stemming from U.S. export controls on advanced AI chips for China, as well as continued low utilisation rates.

It expects the operating loss in its foundry business to narrow in the second half of the year as utilisation improves in line with a gradual recovery in demand.

The company plans to release detailed results including a breakdown of earnings for each of its businesses on July 31.

($1 = 1,368.7000 won)

(Reporting by Heekyong Yang and Joyce Lee and Hyunjoo Jin; Editing by Chris Reese and Sonali Paul)

Key Takeaways

  • Samsung projects a 56% drop in Q2 profit.
  • US AI chip restrictions to China impact sales.
  • Delays in HBM chip supply to Nvidia noted.
  • Samsung plans a 3.9 trillion won share buyback.
  • Analysts expect gradual profit improvement.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Samsung's projected operating profit for Q2?
Samsung estimated an operating profit of 4.6 trillion won for the April-June period, significantly down from 10.4 trillion won in the same period a year earlier.
What factors contributed to Samsung's profit decline?
Samsung attributed the profit miss to U.S. restrictions on advanced AI chips for China and delays in supplying high-bandwidth memory chips.
How did Samsung's competitors perform in comparison?
Rivals SK Hynix and Micron benefited from robust demand for memory chips driven by AI growth in the U.S., while Samsung's reliance on China has restrained its sales.
What are Samsung's plans regarding share buybacks?
Samsung announced plans to buy back 3.9 trillion won ($2.85 billion) worth of its shares, part of a larger 10 trillion won buyback program initiated last November.
When will Samsung release detailed financial results?
Samsung plans to release detailed results, including a breakdown of earnings for each of its businesses, on July 31.

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