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German military deems Russia 'existential risk' to nation and Europe, Spiegel reports

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 20, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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German military deems Russia 'existential risk' to nation and Europe, Spiegel reports
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Berlin (Reuters) -The German military deems Russia an "existential risk" to the country and Europe, according to a Spiegel news magazine report that cites a new Bundeswehr strategy paper. The

German military deems Russia 'existential risk' to nation and Europe, Spiegel...

Berlin (Reuters) -The German military deems Russia an "existential risk" to the country and Europe, according to a Spiegel news magazine report that cites a new Bundeswehr strategy paper.

The confidential document warns that the Kremlin is aligning both its industrial and leadership structures "specifically to meet the requirements for a large-scale conflict against NATO by the end of this decade."

Russia is verifiably preparing for a conflict with NATO, particularly by strengthening forces in western Russia "at the borders with NATO," the report cites the strategy paper as saying.

As early as next year, Russia could have around 1.5 million soldiers on active duty, according to the paper.

Germany can only counter this threat "with a consistent development of military and society-wide capabilities," the document concludes.

Military personnel and experts developed the strategy paper over the past 18 months to serve as a guideline for the future direction of Germany's Bundeswehr, the Spiegel report said.

The defence ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz recently backed U.S. President Donald Trump's demand to hike NATO's defence spending target to 5% of national GDP, a major shift made possible by a historic loosening of Berlin's constitutional debt brake.

(Reporting by Moawis Ahmed and Markus Wacket, Editing by Friederike Heine)

Key Takeaways

  • German military sees Russia as an existential risk to Europe.
  • A Bundeswehr strategy paper highlights potential NATO conflict.
  • Russia is reportedly preparing for large-scale conflict by decade's end.
  • Germany urged to develop military and societal capabilities.
  • Chancellor Merz supports increased NATO defense spending.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the German military consider Russia?
The German military deems Russia an 'existential risk' to Germany and Europe.
What preparations is Russia making according to the strategy paper?
Russia is preparing for a conflict with NATO by strengthening its forces in western Russia, particularly at the borders with NATO.
How many soldiers could Russia have on active duty next year?
According to the strategy paper, Russia could have around 1.5 million soldiers on active duty as early as next year.
What is Germany's proposed response to the threat from Russia?
Germany can only counter the threat from Russia with a consistent development of military and society-wide capabilities.
Who backed the increase in NATO's defense spending target?
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz recently backed U.S. President Donald Trump's demand to hike NATO's defense spending target to 5% of national GDP.

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