Finance

Moody's lifts outlook on Italy to 'positive' as finances improve

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 23, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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Moody's lifts outlook on Italy to 'positive' as finances improve
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(Reuters) -Credit ratings agency Moody's on Friday upgraded its outlook on Italy to "positive", in a boost to Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's efforts to tackle strains on the country's finances and

Moody's Upgrades Italy's Outlook to Positive Amid Financial Improvements

(Reuters) -Credit ratings agency Moody's on Friday upgraded its outlook on Italy to "positive", in a boost to Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's efforts to tackle strains on the country's finances and manage debt.

Moody's also maintained its "Baa3" rating on Italy and said its update in outlook from "stable" followed a "better-than-expected" fiscal performance last year and a "stable" political environment, which would support the Italian government's plans.

"The positive outlook is also supported by a robust labour market, sound household and corporate balance sheets and a healthy banking sector," Moody's said in its report.

Italy's Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti welcomed Moody's outlook revision.

"Moody's evaluation is the result of a serious and silent work we have been carrying out since the beginning of the government," Giorgetti said in a statement.

Last month, rival ratings agency S&P raised its rating on Italy to "BBB+" from "BBB", in a surprise move that came just days after Meloni's government slashed its forecast for 2025 GDP growth to 0.6% from 1.2%.

Despite the weak growth outlook, clouded by uncertainty over U.S. trade tariffs, Rome confirmed its previous budget deficit commitments, estimating a deficit of 3.3% of GDP this year and 2.8% in 2026.

Italy's public debt, proportionally the second-highest in the euro zone after Greece's, is projected to be 136.6% of GDP this year, marginally down from the 136.9% target set in September.

(Reporting by Pushkala Aripaka in Bengaluru and Gavin Jones in Rome; Editing by Mohammed Safi Shamsi)

Key Takeaways

  • Moody's upgraded Italy's outlook to positive.
  • Italy's fiscal performance exceeded expectations.
  • Stable political environment aids financial plans.
  • Italy's debt remains high but manageable.
  • S&P also raised Italy's credit rating recently.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did Moody's announce regarding Italy's financial outlook?
Moody's upgraded its outlook on Italy to 'positive' and maintained its 'Baa3' rating, citing better-than-expected fiscal performance and a stable political environment.
How did Italy's Economy Minister react to the Moody's outlook revision?
Italy's Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti welcomed the revision, stating that it reflects the serious work undertaken by the government since it took office.
What are the projections for Italy's public debt and budget deficit?
Italy's public debt is projected to be 136.6% of GDP this year, while the government estimates a budget deficit of 3.3% of GDP for this year and 2.8% in 2026.
What factors contributed to Moody's positive outlook for Italy?
The positive outlook is supported by a robust labor market, sound household and corporate balance sheets, and a healthy banking sector.
What recent changes did S&P make regarding Italy's rating?
Last month, S&P raised its rating on Italy to 'BBB+' from 'BBB', shortly after the government revised its GDP growth forecast for 2025.

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