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OPEC+ may further accelerate oil output hikes on Saturday, sources say

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 4, 2025

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· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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OPEC+ may further accelerate oil output hikes on Saturday, sources say
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By Olesya Astakhova and Ahmad Ghaddar LONDON (Reuters) -Eight OPEC+ countries are likely to make another accelerated oil output increase for August at a meeting on Saturday, sources from the producer

OPEC+ may further accelerate oil output hikes on Saturday,

By Ahmad Ghaddar, Alex Lawler and Dmitry Zhdannikov

LONDON (Reuters) -OPEC+ may make an increase in oil output for August at its meeting on Saturday that is larger than the 411,000 barrels per day (bpd) hikes it made for May, June and July, three sources familiar with OPEC+ talks told Reuters.

Eight members of the group - Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Oman, Iraq, Kazakhstan and Algeria - are scheduled to meet online on Saturday to decide their oil output policy for August.  

OPEC+ made a radical change in policy this year when the eight members started to unwind their most recent output cut of 2.2 million bpd starting in April. They then accelerated the hikes in May, June and July to 411,000 bpd for each month, despite the extra supply weighing on crude prices.

Earlier on Friday, other sources told Reuters the group was expected to agree to an increase of 411,000 bpd for August, which remains a possible outcome of Saturday's meeting. All sources declined to be identified by name due to the sensitivity of the matter. 

The acceleration of the output hikes came after some OPEC+ members, such as Kazakhstan, produced way over their targets, angering other members that were sticking more closely to agreed cuts. 

Kazakh output returned to growth last month and matched an all-time high, as the Chevron-led Tengiz field ramped up, a source familiar with the data told Reuters this week.

OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, is looking to expand its market share against the backdrop of growing supplies from other producers like the United States. 

The group pumps about half of the world's oil. As of their decision for July output, the OPEC+ eight have made or announced production increases of 1.37 million bpd. This is 62% of the production cut of 2.2 million bpd that they are unwinding. 

(Reporting by Ahmad Ghaddar and Olesya Astakhova. Editing by David Goodman, Mark Potter and Chizu Nomiyama )

Key Takeaways

  • OPEC+ may increase oil output for August beyond previous hikes.
  • Eight key OPEC+ members will meet online to decide output policy.
  • Kazakhstan's overproduction has caused tension within OPEC+.
  • OPEC+ aims to expand market share amid rising US supplies.
  • The group pumps about half of the world's oil.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expected oil output increase for August?
OPEC+ is expected to agree on an increase of 411,000 barrels per day for August, which remains a possible outcome of the upcoming meeting.
Which countries are part of the OPEC+ group meeting?
The OPEC+ group includes Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Oman, Iraq, Kazakhstan, and Algeria.
Why did OPEC+ accelerate output hikes this year?
The acceleration of output hikes was influenced by some members, like Kazakhstan, producing significantly over their targets, which caused tension among those adhering to the agreed cuts.
How much oil does OPEC+ currently produce?
OPEC+ pumps about half of the world's oil, and as of their July output decision, they have announced production increases totaling 1.37 million barrels per day.
What significant policy change did OPEC+ implement this year?
OPEC+ made a radical policy change by starting to unwind their most recent output cut of 2.2 million barrels per day beginning in April.

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