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EU, US could reach framework trade deal this weekend, EU officials say

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 25, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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EU, US could reach framework trade deal this weekend, EU officials say
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BRUSSELS (Reuters) -The European Union and the United States could reach a framework deal on trade this weekend, ending months of uncertainty for European industry, EU officials and diplomats said on

EU, US could reach framework trade deal this weekend, EU officials say

By Julia Payne and Jan Strupczewski

BRUSSELS (Reuters) -The European Union and the United States could reach a framework deal on trade this weekend, ending months of uncertainty for European industry, EU officials and diplomats said on Friday.

The deal would likely include a 15% baseline tariff on all EU goods entering the United States and probably a 50% tariff on European steel and aluminium, the officials and diplomats said.

U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday said there was a 50-50 chance or perhaps less that the United States would reach a trade agreement with the European Union, adding that Brussels wanted to "make a deal very badly".

One of the sources said a weekend deal seemed likely as the "agreement is basically in the hands of Trump now."

A source familiar with the negotiations said there was a "good chance" European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen would meet Trump in Scotland over the weekend.

A spokesperson for the Commission did not respond to multiple requests for comment on a possible meeting.

Trump will visit his golf course on Scotland's west coast and is set to meet British Prime Minister Keir Starmer on Monday.

Combining goods, services and investment, the EU and the United States are each other's largest trading partners by far. The American Chamber of Commerce to the EU warned in March that any conflict jeopardised $9.5 trillion of business in the world's most important commercial relationship.

The EU is facing U.S. tariffs on more than 70% of its exports - 50% on steel and aluminium, 25% on cars and car parts and a 10% levy on most other EU goods, which U.S. President Donald Trump has said he would hike to 30% on August 1, a level EU officials said would wipe out whole chunks of transatlantic commerce.

Further tariffs on copper and pharmaceuticals are looming.

The EU has prepared countermeasures that could enter into force on August 7 in the event that talks collapse.

(Reporting by Julia Payne and Jan Strupczewski; Editing by David Holmes)

Key Takeaways

  • EU and US are nearing a framework trade deal.
  • Potential tariffs include 15% on EU goods and 50% on steel.
  • Trump indicates a 50-50 chance of reaching an agreement.
  • EU faces tariffs on over 70% of its exports to the US.
  • Countermeasures by the EU could be enacted if talks fail.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expected tariff rate on EU goods entering the US?
The deal would likely include a 15% baseline tariff on all EU goods entering the United States.
What tariffs are expected on European steel and aluminium?
There will probably be a 50% tariff on European steel and aluminium.
Who is involved in the trade negotiations?
U.S. President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen are key figures in the negotiations.
What could happen if the trade talks collapse?
The EU has prepared countermeasures that could enter into force if the talks collapse.
When is the potential meeting between Trump and von der Leyen?
A source indicated that a meeting between Trump and von der Leyen could take place in Scotland over the weekend.

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