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Trump tariff setback could hasten US debt ceiling deadline, says Barclays

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 29, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 23, 2026

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Trump tariff setback could hasten US debt ceiling deadline, says Barclays
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By Davide Barbuscia NEW YORK (Reuters) - A court ruling blocking most of U.S. President Donald Trump's import duties could add uncertainty around when the government will no longer be able to pay all

Court Ruling on Trump Tariffs May Accelerate US Debt Ceiling Deadline

By Davide Barbuscia

NEW YORK (Reuters) - A court ruling blocking most of U.S. President Donald Trump's import duties could add uncertainty around when the government will no longer be able to pay all its obligations without raising the U.S. debt ceiling, Barclays analysts said.

A U.S. trade court blocked most of President Donald Trump's tariffs in a sweeping ruling on Wednesday that found the president overstepped his authority by imposing across-the-board duties on imports from U.S. trading partners. The Trump administration filed a notice of appeal and questioned the authority of the court.

The U.S. government reached its statutory borrowing limit in January and began employing "extraordinary measures" to keep it from breaching the cap and risking a potential default.

"Additional tariff revenues were likely to push the x-date back and lack of those is likely to keep it around late August," Barclays analysts said in a note on Thursday. The so-called x-date is when the government will no longer be able to pay all its obligations.

"While the administration ultimately could pursue other avenues to achieve the same tariff rates, or it might prevail through the courts, that may not be resolved in short order so the x-date forecast remains quite in flux," they said.

The analysts had estimated the Treasury General Account would dip slightly below $100 billion before mid-September. After the court ruling, the X-date could fall in late August or early September, they said.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent this month urged lawmakers to extend the U.S. government's borrowing authority by mid-July, warning that there was a "reasonable probability" the federal government would run short of cash to cover its obligations by August.

Republicans who control the House of Representatives and the Senate are trying to advance a sweeping package of tax cuts and spending hikes that would also raise the debt limit by at least $4 trillion.

(Reporting by Davide Barbuscia; Editing by Nick Zieminski)

Key Takeaways

  • A court ruling blocked most of Trump's import duties.
  • Barclays warns this could affect the US debt ceiling timeline.
  • The US reached its borrowing limit in January.
  • The x-date could now be late August or early September.
  • Lawmakers urged to extend borrowing authority by mid-July.

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the court's decision regarding Trump's tariffs?
A U.S. trade court blocked most of President Donald Trump's tariffs, ruling that he overstepped his authority by imposing across-the-board duties on imports.
What is the 'x-date' mentioned by Barclays analysts?
The 'x-date' is when the U.S. government will no longer be able to pay all its obligations. Barclays analysts indicated that the lack of additional tariff revenues could keep this date around late August.
What measures is the U.S. government taking regarding the debt ceiling?
The U.S. government reached its statutory borrowing limit in January and began employing 'extraordinary measures' to avoid breaching the cap and risking a potential default.
What did Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent advise lawmakers?
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged lawmakers to extend the U.S. government's borrowing authority by mid-July, warning of a 'reasonable probability' of the federal government being unable to meet its obligations.
What are Republicans proposing regarding the debt limit?
Republicans controlling the House and Senate are trying to advance a package of tax cuts and spending hikes that would raise the debt limit by at least $4 trillion.

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