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US tariffs, pricing risks to be manageable for Big Pharma, Morningstar says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 10, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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US tariffs, pricing risks to be manageable for Big Pharma, Morningstar says
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(Reuters) -The impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's plan to levy import duties on pharmaceutical products and his push to lower drug prices are likely to be manageable for big U.S. and European

Big Pharma Faces Manageable Risks from US Tariffs and Price Cuts

Impact of US Tariffs on Pharmaceutical Companies

(Reuters) -The impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's plan to levy import duties on pharmaceutical products and his push to lower drug prices are likely to be manageable for big U.S. and European drugmakers, according to an analysis by brokerage Morningstar.

Short-Term Risks and Price Controls

The report said the near term risk from the push to slash prescription drug prices to match those paid overseas would be "exceedingly low" as it could harm patient access to drugs.

Manufacturing Shifts and Costs

In July, Trump had called on drugmakers to provide so-called most-favored-nation prices to every patient enrolled in the government Medicaid health program for low-income people, and to guarantee such pricing for new drugs.

Bilateral Trade Deal Implications

The report looked at ten major pharmaceutical firms in the U.S. and Europe - AstraZeneca , Novartis, Sanofi, GSK, Novo Nordisk, AbbVie, Amgen, Eli Lilly, Merck, and Pfizer.

While all companies will likely need to pay higher taxes in the long-term after relocating manufacturing to the U.S., European firms will also face elevated costs associated with new facilities, the report said.

Several global drugmakers have pledged billions of dollars to scale up their U.S. manufacturing capacity as the industry braces for sector-specific tariffs.

Trump has said he would initially start small with pharma tariffs and eventually hike it up to 250% in an effort to boost domestic production.

The U.S. had also reached a bilateral trade deal with the European Union in July, which includes a 15% tariff on pharmaceuticals, except for some generic drugs.

Assuming an initial 15% U.S. tariff on pharmaceuticals, the brokerage estimates the impact to peak at about 4% of core profit on average, after mitigation efforts, for the companies analyzed.

(Reporting by Mariam Sunny in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju Samuel)

Key Takeaways

  • US tariffs on pharmaceuticals are manageable for Big Pharma.
  • Morningstar analysis suggests low short-term risks.
  • Long-term manufacturing shifts may increase costs.
  • Bilateral trade deals impact European firms.
  • Tariffs could peak at 4% of core profit.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the initial tariff rate proposed by Trump on pharmaceuticals?
Trump has indicated an initial 15% tariff on pharmaceuticals, which could increase significantly over time.
How might drug pricing changes affect patient access?
The report suggests that the push to lower drug prices could harm patient access to medications, though the near-term risk is deemed low.
Which pharmaceutical companies are analyzed in the report?
The report examines ten major pharmaceutical firms, including AstraZeneca, Novartis, Sanofi, GSK, Novo Nordisk, AbbVie, Amgen, Eli Lilly, Merck, and Pfizer.
What are the expected long-term impacts of tariffs on pharmaceutical companies?
While companies may face higher taxes due to relocating manufacturing to the U.S., the impact on core profits is estimated to peak at about 4% after mitigation efforts.
What has been the response of global drugmakers to U.S. tariffs?
Several global drugmakers have committed billions to enhance their U.S. manufacturing capacity in anticipation of sector-specific tariffs.

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