Finance

Russian bank VTB expects retail lending to go into hibernation in 2025

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on January 29, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 27, 2026

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VTB Bank logo with a backdrop of financial graphs and charts - Global Banking & Finance Review
The image features the VTB Bank logo alongside financial graphs, symbolizing the bank's forecast of retail lending slowing down in 2025 amid high interest rates. This reflects the trends discussed in the article.
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MOSCOW (Reuters) - State-owned Russian bank VTB said it expects the retail lending market to go into hibernation mode this year as banks prioritise the quality of their loan portfolios with the

VTB Bank Foresees Retail Lending Hibernation in 2025

MOSCOW (Reuters) - State-owned Russian bank VTB said it expects the retail lending market to go into hibernation mode this year as banks prioritise the quality of their loan portfolios with the central bank's key rate at 21%.

Lending growth remained high in 2024, even as the central bank steadily hiked rates to the highest level in over 20 years, but a decline in the retail segment, particularly in mortgage and consumer loans, is probable this year, said Georgy Gorshkov, deputy president and chairman of VTB's management board.

"The retail credit market will go into hibernation this year," Gorshkov told reporters. "Its contraction will be the maximum in recent years."

"The portrait of a retail borrower will change in favour of clients with a low debt load and those who qualify for government programmes."

Gorshkov said VTB's retail customers last year made 2.1 million cross-border transfers in currencies of countries that have not imposed sanctions against Russia over its actions in Ukraine, a six-fold increase on 2023.

"The volume of transactions exceeded 50.5 billion roubles ($515.33 million)," Gorshkov said, estimating this would rise to more than 240 billion roubles in 2025.

Major Russian banks were blocked from dollar markets and the SWIFT global payments system soon after Moscow sent its troops into Ukraine in February 2022, complicating the cross-border flow of funds.

($1 = 97.9955 roubles)

(Reporting by Elena Fabrichnaya; Writing by Alexander Marrow; Editing by Jamie Freed)

Key Takeaways

  • VTB expects retail lending to slow down in 2025.
  • Central bank's key rate is at 21%, affecting loans.
  • Retail credit market contraction is expected.
  • Increase in cross-border transfers by VTB customers.
  • Russian banks face challenges post-Ukraine conflict.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main topic?
The article discusses VTB Bank's expectations for a slowdown in retail lending in 2025 due to high central bank rates.
How will retail lending change?
Retail lending is expected to contract, with a focus on clients with lower debt loads.
What impact did the Ukraine conflict have?
Russian banks, including VTB, faced challenges such as being blocked from dollar markets and SWIFT.

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