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Soft payment volume overshadows Adyen's revenue growth, shares tumble 15%

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on February 12, 2026

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· Last updated: February 12, 2026

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Feb 12 (Reuters) - Dutch payments processor Adyen reported net revenue of 1.27 billion euros ($1.51 billion) for the second half of 2025 on Thursday, up 21% on a constant currency basis, capping a

Soft payment volume overshadows Adyen's revenue growth, shares tumble 15%

Adyen's Financial Performance and Future Outlook

By Leo Marchandon

Transaction Volume Analysis

Feb 12 (Reuters) - Dutch payments processor Adyen's revenue grew more than a fifth in the second half of 2025, but weaker-than-expected transaction volumes and a cautious guidance for 2026 sent its shares falling 15% on Thursday.

Expansion Plans and AI Integration

Its processed transaction volumes rose 19% to 745 billion euros ($885 billion) in the second half of the year, missing market forecast of 771 billion euros.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Insights

Analysts from KBC Securities said in a note that higher fees per transaction partially offset this shortfall, but warned the results and outlook might fail to lift the broader negative sentiment in the payments sector. 

Adyen's net revenue grew 21% on a constant currency basis to 1.27 billion euros between July and December. It forecast similar revenue growth of 20-22% for this year, and said it expected its core profit margin to exceed 55% by 2028, versus 53% in 2025.

The company, which processes payments for major businesses such as Uber and H&M, saw strong growth in its unified commerce segment. In-store terminal transactions increased 26% year-on-year to 173 billion euros in the second half, driven by expanded partnerships with clients including Starbucks and Uber.

Amsterdam-based Adyen said on Thursday it was expanding its Starbucks partnership from Mexico to Switzerland, Austria and Britain, rolling out payment solutions in 943 stores across Europe.

Finance chief Ethan Tankowsky told Reuters that Adyen's existing customers were driving short-term growth, while new clients via gradual geographic expansion contribute to longer-term momentum.

Adyen's payment volumes are also an advantage when training artificial intelligence, Tankowsky said. "It's not just having data, but having data structured in the right way and being able to leverage it in real time."

The company is in "deep discussion" with retailers about ways to use agentic AI in commerce, and plans to hire around 600 people as it expands internal automation efforts, he said.

While automation already boosted margins in 2025, Adyen is planning new AI products that could open doors for market expansion, which will require strategic hires, Tankowsky added.

($1 = 0.8420 euros)

(Reporting by Leo Marchandon in Gdansk, editing by Milla Nissi-Prussak)

Key Takeaways

  • Adyen reported a 21% revenue increase in the second half of 2025.
  • Full-year revenue rose to 2.36 billion euros.
  • EBITDA margin projected to exceed 55% by 2028.
  • Processed 173 billion euros in transactions, up 26%.
  • Strengthened position against PayPal and Stripe.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is revenue growth?
Revenue growth refers to the increase in a company's sales over a specific period, often expressed as a percentage. It indicates how well a company is performing in generating income.
What is EBITDA margin?
EBITDA margin is a financial metric that measures a company's operating performance. It is calculated by dividing earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization by total revenue.
What is transaction processing?
Transaction processing involves the handling of transactions, including the authorization, processing, and settlement of payments made through various methods such as credit cards and digital wallets.
What is a core profit margin?
Core profit margin is a measure of a company's profitability, calculated as the ratio of core earnings to total revenue. It reflects the efficiency of a company's core business operations.
What is wallet share?
Wallet share refers to the percentage of a customer's total spending within a particular category that a company captures. It indicates how much of a customer's budget is allocated to a specific brand or service.

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