Finance

AEB lobby group forecasts modest 2.5% growth for Russia's car market

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on January 13, 2026

1 min read

· Last updated: January 19, 2026

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AEB lobby group forecasts modest 2.5% growth for Russia's car market
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MOSCOW, Jan 13 (Reuters) - Sales of new cars in Russia are expected to rise by 2.5% to 1.4 million units in 2026, the Association of European Businesses (AEB) said on Tuesday. The weak growth forecast

AEB lobby group forecasts modest 2.5% growth for Russia's car market

Overview of Russia's Car Market Growth

MOSCOW, Jan 13 (Reuters) - Sales of new cars in Russia are expected to rise by 2.5% to 1.4 million units in 2026, the Association of European Businesses (AEB) said on Tuesday.

Factors Influencing Market Growth

The weak growth forecast reflects increased valued-add tax (VAT) rates and scrappage fees, and the high level of interest rates, the lobby group said.

Recent Sales Trends

Sales of new passenger and light commercial vehicles dropped 17% last year, AEB said. Russian analytical agency Autostat, which covers only passenger car sales, said the market fell 15.6% in 2025.

Industry Challenges

"The significant decline in the market reflects the difficult situation in the industry, which is experiencing both external pressure in the form of sanctions restrictions and changes in internal regulation," said Alexey Kalitsev, chairman of AEB's Automobile Manufacturers Committee.

(Reporting by Gleb Stolyarov; Editing by Mark Trevelyan)

Key Takeaways

  • AEB forecasts 2.5% growth in Russia's car market by 2026.
  • Increased VAT and interest rates impact market growth.
  • Car sales dropped 17% last year.
  • Sanctions and regulations challenge the industry.
  • Autostat reports a 15.6% decline in passenger car sales.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the automotive industry?
The automotive industry encompasses all companies and activities involved in the manufacturing, design, marketing, and selling of motor vehicles.
What are interest rates?
Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money, expressed as a percentage of the total amount borrowed, typically calculated on an annual basis.
What is economic growth?
Economic growth refers to the increase in the production of goods and services in an economy over a period of time, often measured by GDP.
What are sales trends?
Sales trends indicate the patterns and changes in consumer purchasing behavior over time, reflecting the performance of specific products or markets.
What are market challenges?
Market challenges are obstacles that businesses face in their industry, which can include competition, regulatory changes, and economic conditions.

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